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Cash gasoil differentials stayed near $3 a barrel, around two-week lows, while the jet fuel market weakened day on day. Refining margin closed above $71 a barrel and the market was watching upcoming China export quotas.
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY * MNI FED: Gov Barr: Base Case Is For Further Hikes: #83aa171c-7fc4-49fd-82f5-351bcb071d96 * MNI IRAN: Security Chief Says In No Rush To Negotiate: #5df7e2ac-e490-4920-91fd-84069fe559a3 * MNI IRAN: Pezeshkian Talks On Nuclear, Hormuz & US Stance In UN Address: #c9b6854d-8cab-47cb-8646-ce411062279c * M
HIGHLIGHTS * Gov Barr (permanent FOMC voter)'s speech Tuesday is primarily on the longer-term outlook for the housing sector, but importantly he notes that his "base case" is for "further policy adjustments" (plural) * Iranian security chief Rezaii via Irib: "Iran has not been in a hurry to negotiate; today, Iran's con
* Treasuries look to finish broadly weaker but off midday lows after yields climbed to the highest levels in 20 years Wednesday. Higher than expected S&P flash PMIs (carry over from hawkish flash PMIs for EGBs) triggered heavy selling, while doubts over US/Iran diplomatic efforts spurred crude prices higher. * TYZ6 cur
* Treasuries extend lows after a particularly weak 5Y sale with 3.1bp tail: FVZ6 marks 103-14.25 low and back to 103-16 last (-23.75) * TYZ6 down to 104-28.5 low, trades 104-30.5 last (-101.5). Next technical support: 104-25.5 (2.500 proj of Jun 30 - Jul 14 - 17 price swing). * Cross asset: while US$ extends gain (BBDX
* Tsy futures continue to extend lows with crude rising (WTI appr $92.86/bbl). TYZ6 through technical support at 105-10.5 (Oct 19 2023 low) to 105-08 at the moment (-24). 10Y yield +.0830 at 5.3825%. * Next support level at 105-00.5 (2.382 proj of Jun 30 - Jul 14 - 17 price swing). * As was the case yesterday - corpora
* Treasury futures have reversed overnight highs after crude pared losses earlier - mildly higher at $90.65/bbl. * Extending lows in the last few minutes with TYZ6 -5.5 at 105-26.5 (low), initial technical support at 105-21 (Low Sep 15 and 16) - resumption of the downtrend would open 105-10+, the Oct 19 '23 low on the
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY * TRUMP HAILS IRAN TALKS EVEN AS TEHRAN SETS 'FIRM POSITIONS': #0244e48b-2945-4b3b-8085-728a924ddf38 * ZELENSKY ASKS TRUMP FOR WINTER ARMS PACKAGE, EXPECTS ENERGY-CEASEFIRE PUSH: WSJ: #cddd3044-ae77-4efa-9233-fb28b1e6f368 * NAGEL SAYS 'VIGILANT' ECB MAY NEED MILDLY RESTRICTIVE RATES: #13be4029-5b8c-40
* Oil has continued to trend lower during Wednesday's APAC session as talks continue on the sidelines of this week's UN gathering. The fact negotiations are even taking place to facilitate Middle East energy shipments is driving optimism in markets but the situation remains very precarious. UST futures are higher, but
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY * TRUMP HAILS 'VERY GOOD' IRAN TALKS FOLLOWING ANNIHILATION THREAT - BBG: #cdbad0a1-5c8d-4cdb-9819-370162b99299 * ZELENSKY ASKS TRUMP FOR WINTER ARMS PACKAGE, EXPECTS ENERGY-CEASEFIRE PUSH - WSJ: #a4c79a68-e487-466b-a806-4885fa3200e0 * LASTING SHOCKS, FIRMING DEMAND REQUIRE FED ACTION - BARKIN - MNI
South East Asia FX trends are mixed. IDR and PHP are firmer, while MYR is little changed. Broader FX trends are still favoured in terms of the dollar, with the USD BBDXY continuing to gravitate higher, last +0.1% higher to 1206.7. Oil futures are softer, while bond futures tick up, but this isn't impacting USD sentimen
Aussie bond futures are holding a positive bias in the first part of Wednesday trade, albeit slightly off best levels for the session. We remain up 5-5.5bps, with the 3yr slightly firmer. YM was last 95.04, against session highs of 95.055, while the 10yr future (XM) was last 94.725 (session highs today sit at 94.74). T
Spot USD/CNH traded near 6.6980 in early Wednesday deals after rising close to 0.10% in Tuesday trade; it did not break below 6.6900.
BB lows -9%
() -- TPH Energy Research expects US independent refiners to deliver stronger-than-expected Q3 earnings as gasoline and diesel margins remain robust, it said in a Tuesday note. TPH raised its average Q3 earnings per share estimate for the sector to $5.83 from $4.97, above the consensus forecast of $5.22 per share. TPH
Micron's strong earnings and guidance boost tech sector, while a major earthquake hits Venezuela and big US banks pass Fed's stress tests