Treasury and Eurozone Yields Fall Ahead of U.S. Inflation Data
U.S. Treasury and eurozone government bond yields fell Tuesday, helped by lower oil prices and a pullback in artificial intelligence stocks. Markets are looking to U.S. inflation data.
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U.S. Treasury and eurozone government bond yields fell Tuesday, helped by lower oil prices and a pullback in artificial intelligence stocks. Markets are looking to U.S. inflation data.
Canada shed 68,000 jobs in September, reversing the consensus expectation for a small gain. The unemployment rate rose to 6.5% as manufacturing, education and health care lost jobs.
MUFG Bank's Derek Halpenny said Japan potentially introducing tax-free opportunities to hold domestic government bonds could support the yen and affect flows into foreign equity markets. He also noted record foreign equity purchases through Japan's NISA program and said the dollar rose 0.2% to 158.23 yen.
Fitch says U.S. and European high-yield credit continues to benefit from solid investor demand, with lenders and investors competing to finance leveraged issuers. The firm said spreads remain below the 20-year average, supporting risk-adjusted returns.
Morgan Stanley said it remains positioned in intermediate Japanese government bonds, expecting shorter- and longer-tenor bonds to underperform. The bank cited faster Bank of Japan hike pricing and shifting pension-rebalancing expectations.
Market Talk comments pointed to euro resilience versus French fiscal worries, rising French sovereign credit risk and steadying Treasury yields. The roundup also cited Germany’s improved growth outlook and an upcoming Canadian jobs report.
Stock futures rose Friday as AI-related shares recovered and oil prices fell. The rebound followed Thursday's tech selloff, while investors also looked ahead to next week's earnings season and later U.S. consumer sentiment data.
Gold futures climbed 1.4% in early European trading as the dollar eased and oil prices fell. Traders are also reassessing the inflation and interest-rate outlook.
Gold futures advanced in early European trade as the dollar softened and oil prices fell. Traders were also reassessing the inflation and interest-rate outlook.
LGT Private Banking Asia said the dollar is likely to remain rangebound against the yen in the near term, largely within 155 to 160 yen. The bank cited intervention risk, Japanese investor repatriation and wide U.S.-Japan rate differentials.
U.S. Treasury yields are hovering near multiyear highs as investors watch Federal Reserve commentary and a 30-year bond auction. The 10-year yield traded as high as 5.353%, while the 30-year yield was around 5.696%.
Bitcoin fell 1.2% to $82,422 as a market note said the asset is increasingly competing with other asset classes for long-term portfolio allocation. The note said the decline should be viewed in the context of bitcoin’s broader mainstreaming, while still remaining sensitive to macro conditions and investor sentiment.
Bitcoin dropped 3% to $83,098 as traders cited record-high Treasury yields and a stronger U.S. dollar. Ethereum, XRP and solana also fell in the same market move.
The dollar's recent advance could continue if the Fed minutes show broad support for further rate hikes, according to Infinox's Thadeu Dos Santos. A more cautious readout could reverse the move, while Thursday's jobless claims report is also seen as a possible catalyst.
The roundup says the Swiss franc remains supported by safe-haven demand, while sterling and gilt yields rise on expectations for Bank of England policy tightening and ahead of the U.K. budget. It also notes euro weakness tied to French fiscal concerns and a Treasury auction under close watch.
2017 ET - JGB futures edge higher in the early Tokyo session, tracking overnight price gains in U.S. Treasury market. JGBs and Treasurys tend to move in tandem. "We anticipate that buying will be slightly dominant" today following Tuesday's pause in Treasury yields' rise, Mitsubishi UFJ Morgan Stanley Securities' fixed
1934 ET - Asian currencies consolidate against the dollar in early trade, but may be aided by appetite for risk assets. "The S&P 500 rose to a fresh record high, supported by optimism around AI-related spending," CBA's Samara Hammoud says in a research report. The overnight rise in equities has boosted risk sentiment,
HIGHLIGHTS * Gov Barr (permanent FOMC voter)'s speech Tuesday is primarily on the longer-term outlook for the housing sector, but importantly he notes that his "base case" is for "further policy adjustments" (plural) * Iranian security chief Rezaii via Irib: "Iran has not been in a hurry to negotiate; today, Iran's con
* Oil has continued to trend lower during Wednesday's APAC session as talks continue on the sidelines of this week's UN gathering. The fact negotiations are even taking place to facilitate Middle East energy shipments is driving optimism in markets but the situation remains very precarious. UST futures are higher, but
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY * TRUMP HAILS 'VERY GOOD' IRAN TALKS FOLLOWING ANNIHILATION THREAT - BBG: #cdbad0a1-5c8d-4cdb-9819-370162b99299 * ZELENSKY ASKS TRUMP FOR WINTER ARMS PACKAGE, EXPECTS ENERGY-CEASEFIRE PUSH - WSJ: #a4c79a68-e487-466b-a806-4885fa3200e0 * LASTING SHOCKS, FIRMING DEMAND REQUIRE FED ACTION - BARKIN - MNI
U.S. equities fell for a second straight session as Treasury yields climbed for a fifth day and crude oil extended gains, with markets increasingly pricing a Federal Reserve rate hike this month.
Summary US equity market looked to finish off quarter and month on an up note. Tech did a good portion of the heavy lifting, unwinding some the mega-cap weakness/rotations seen into quarters end. May JOLTS jobs data jumped up towards 7.6M openings pushing up Treasury yields marginally. EU CPI readings were broadly cool
Summary US equity market looked to finish off quarter and month on an up note. Tech did a good portion of the heavy lifting, unwinding some the mega-cap weakness/rotations seen into quarters end. May JOLTS jobs data jumped up towards 7.6M openings pushing up Treasury yields marginally. EU CPI readings were broadly cool
**Notes/Observations** - Month-end data flow was broadly constructive for the eurozone but added to the ECB's policy dilemma. French preliminary June CPI surprised to the downside at 1.8% y/y (vs 2.0%e), bringing headline inflation back to target for the first time in three months, while French consumer spending (+0.5%