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Fundstrat’s Tom Lee stated that cooling inflation data and a shift in rhetoric from the Federal Reserve will benefit equities. A Shift in FOMC Hawkishness In a post on X, Lee offered what he called a “contrarian take” regarding the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy path. Lee noted that New York Fed President John Willi
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY * MNI FED: Gov Barr: Base Case Is For Further Hikes: #83aa171c-7fc4-49fd-82f5-351bcb071d96 * MNI IRAN: Security Chief Says In No Rush To Negotiate: #5df7e2ac-e490-4920-91fd-84069fe559a3 * MNI IRAN: Pezeshkian Talks On Nuclear, Hormuz & US Stance In UN Address: #c9b6854d-8cab-47cb-8646-ce411062279c * M
HIGHLIGHTS * Gov Barr (permanent FOMC voter)'s speech Tuesday is primarily on the longer-term outlook for the housing sector, but importantly he notes that his "base case" is for "further policy adjustments" (plural) * Iranian security chief Rezaii via Irib: "Iran has not been in a hurry to negotiate; today, Iran's con
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY * TRUMP HAILS 'VERY GOOD' IRAN TALKS FOLLOWING ANNIHILATION THREAT - BBG: #cdbad0a1-5c8d-4cdb-9819-370162b99299 * ZELENSKY ASKS TRUMP FOR WINTER ARMS PACKAGE, EXPECTS ENERGY-CEASEFIRE PUSH - WSJ: #a4c79a68-e487-466b-a806-4885fa3200e0 * LASTING SHOCKS, FIRMING DEMAND REQUIRE FED ACTION - BARKIN - MNI
The dollar had a strong start to the week despite a decline in oil prices and strong risk sentiment. In our view, part of the move reflected a catch-up to levels seen before Friday's reported Bank of Japan rate check, which had damaged USD momentum across the board. Hawkish Fed commentary was however the clearest drive
The Indian rupee is expected to trade between 95.30 and 96.00 this week, supported by portfolio inflows and central bank intervention. Meanwhile, benchmark 10-year bond yield may edge higher as investors focus on the Reserve Bank of India's liquidity withdrawal.
The euro traded just below $1.15, remaining close to its weakest level since late July, as the dollar strengthened after the Federal Reserve raised interest rates yesterday and signaled another hike later this year. US policymakers voted unanimously to lift the benchmark federal funds rate to a range of 3.75% to 4% on
Shares of the iShares Russell 2000 ETF (NYSE: IWM ) are falling Wednesday afternoon, leading broader market declines as small-cap equities bear the brunt of a hawkish Federal Reserve interest rate decision and post-meeting press conference. Here’s what investors need to know. iShares Russell 2000 Index Fund is volatile
Major indices are trading higher following the FOMC decision to increase the target range for the fed funds rate from 3.50%-3.75% to 3.75%-4.00% as Fed expectations for another rate hike in 2026 largely reflect investor expectations heading into the event.
The recent rebound in private credit stocks has stalled, with many names slipping into a local correction as interest rate risks rise. Blue Owl Capital (NYSE: OWL ) shares ended the week at $10.50, down 17% from their August high. Apollo Global (NYSE: APO ) fell to $128.9, down 10% from the August high, while Ares Mana
The Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (NYSE: VOO ) has moved sideways in the past six weeks as jitters in the bond market have coincided with strong earnings growth. It ended the week at $702, down by 1.8% from the year-to-date high. VOO ETF Inflows are Soaring as its Performance Stalls American retail and institutional investors a
U.S. annual inflation was unchanged at 3.4% in August, matching expectations, while core inflation eased to 2.4% year over year. The monthly CPI rose 0.4%, with gasoline the biggest driver.
Goldman Sachs said a September rate increase remains unlikely, citing softer retail sales, weaker employment data and cooling inflation ahead of PCE data and Jackson Hole.
Federal Reserve minutes show several officials favored a July rate hike and many said more tightening could be needed, while most participants expected inflation to ease and staff saw it declining.
U.S. stock futures are mixed Monday, with Dow futures lower and S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures higher, as FedWatch pricing puts a September rate hike at 30.6%.
The S&P 500 tops 7,800 for the first time after a flat July producer-price print and softer core PPI, while semiconductors and SanDisk’s 15% surge drive gains.
FOMC Fed Fund Rate Expectations
U.S. equities clawed back Wednesday’s post-Fed losses by midday Thursday, with a blowout cloud print from Microsoft Corp. (NASDAQ: MSFT ) reviving the artificial intelligence trade and dragging beaten-down semiconductor names sharply higher. The Nasdaq 100 led with a 3.1% advance, though a 19-year high in long-dated Tr
() -- There was widespread disagreement among Federal Open Market Committee participants at the June 16-17 meeting, minutes of that meeting released Wednesday showed. At the meeting, the FOMC held rates steady, as expected, but drastically reduced the size of its statement to remove forward guidance. The updated Summar
Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh used his first international appearance to reaffirm the central bank’s fight against inflation, telling a packed policy panel at the European Central Bank’s Sintra forum on Wednesday that “prices are too high,” while pointedly refusing to hand markets a signal on the July meeting. • SP
Something is shifting in U.S. equity markets. After years of Magnificent Seven dominance, market breadth is finally expanding — the percentage of S&P 500 stocks trading above their 50-day moving average surged from roughly 40% to 57% in just days. But the real test comes this week. JOLTS (June 30), ADP (July 1), and th
The past few weeks have brought welcome relief for the world’s biggest oil-importing region. Intensive negotiations between the US and Iran have increased market hopes that the Strait of Hormuz will reopen, and brought down oil prices significantly (notwithstanding another round of tit-for-tat strikes). From a late Apr
SPDR Gold Shares (NYSE: GLD ) are dipping on Tuesday. Expectations for additional Federal Reserve rate hikes rise and geopolitical tensions ease. SPDR Gold Shares stock is showing weakness. Why is GLD stock trading lower? Rate Hike Expectations Weigh On Gold Bank of America shifted to a sharply more hawkish outlook.
The Federal Reserve and Chairman Kevin Warsh on Wednesday followed the script on interest rates closely, voting to keep the benchmark level steady, but dropped several surprises that kept markets guessing about where things are heading. Markets didn't like it, with major averages swooning after the meeting and as Wars