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U.S. Treasury yields are hovering near multiyear highs as investors watch Federal Reserve commentary and a 30-year bond auction. The 10-year yield traded as high as 5.353%, while the 30-year yield was around 5.696%.
Bitcoin fell 1.2% to $82,422 as a market note said the asset is increasingly competing with other asset classes for long-term portfolio allocation. The note said the decline should be viewed in the context of bitcoin’s broader mainstreaming, while still remaining sensitive to macro conditions and investor sentiment.
European stocks fell and the euro slipped as oil rose above $100 on renewed Middle East tensions and France's fiscal outlook weighed on sentiment. Traders also watched upcoming U.S. Treasury auctions and the Federal Reserve minutes.
Sterling reached a 16-month peak against the euro on Wednesday, driven by France's fiscal worries that pressured the single currency. The euro fell 0.27% to 84.49 pence, its lowest since June 2025, and also slumped 0.6% against the dollar to 1.1199.
Germany’s 10-year Bund yield rose back above 3.6%, near its highest level since June 2009, as a deepening energy shock strengthened expectations for further ECB rate hikes through 2027. French bond yields also surged to a fresh 18-year high after recording their biggest quarterly increase in nearly four decades, ahead
UK second-quarter growth was revised up to 0.5% from 0.4%, reinforcing expectations for Bank of England tightening by year-end. Sterling rose 0.4% to $1.3292 and hit its highest against the euro since mid-August.
Germany’s 10-year Bund yield stabilized above the 3.6% mark, close to its highest level since June 2009, as investors weighed ECB President Christine Lagarde’s comments against flash inflation data and elevated oil prices. Lagarde said the recent inflation surge has yet to generate significant second-round effects acro
S&P 500 off about 0.4% early Monday as U.S. crude rises and the 10-year Treasury yield briefly reaches 5.2382%, its highest since June 2007.
The STOXX 600 rose 0.48%, with UK housebuilders surging after Britain said it would confirm a new equity loan programme for first-time buyers in next month's budget. Brent crude jumped 3% and Germany's 10-year yield hit its highest since June 2009.
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY * MNI FED: Gov Barr: Base Case Is For Further Hikes: #83aa171c-7fc4-49fd-82f5-351bcb071d96 * MNI IRAN: Security Chief Says In No Rush To Negotiate: #5df7e2ac-e490-4920-91fd-84069fe559a3 * MNI IRAN: Pezeshkian Talks On Nuclear, Hormuz & US Stance In UN Address: #c9b6854d-8cab-47cb-8646-ce411062279c * M
HIGHLIGHTS * Gov Barr (permanent FOMC voter)'s speech Tuesday is primarily on the longer-term outlook for the housing sector, but importantly he notes that his "base case" is for "further policy adjustments" (plural) * Iranian security chief Rezaii via Irib: "Iran has not been in a hurry to negotiate; today, Iran's con
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY * TRUMP HAILS IRAN TALKS EVEN AS TEHRAN SETS 'FIRM POSITIONS': #0244e48b-2945-4b3b-8085-728a924ddf38 * ZELENSKY ASKS TRUMP FOR WINTER ARMS PACKAGE, EXPECTS ENERGY-CEASEFIRE PUSH: WSJ: #cddd3044-ae77-4efa-9233-fb28b1e6f368 * NAGEL SAYS 'VIGILANT' ECB MAY NEED MILDLY RESTRICTIVE RATES: #13be4029-5b8c-40
* Oil has continued to trend lower during Wednesday's APAC session as talks continue on the sidelines of this week's UN gathering. The fact negotiations are even taking place to facilitate Middle East energy shipments is driving optimism in markets but the situation remains very precarious. UST futures are higher, but
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY * TRUMP HAILS 'VERY GOOD' IRAN TALKS FOLLOWING ANNIHILATION THREAT - BBG: #cdbad0a1-5c8d-4cdb-9819-370162b99299 * ZELENSKY ASKS TRUMP FOR WINTER ARMS PACKAGE, EXPECTS ENERGY-CEASEFIRE PUSH - WSJ: #a4c79a68-e487-466b-a806-4885fa3200e0 * LASTING SHOCKS, FIRMING DEMAND REQUIRE FED ACTION - BARKIN - MNI
The dollar had a strong start to the week despite a decline in oil prices and strong risk sentiment. In our view, part of the move reflected a catch-up to levels seen before Friday's reported Bank of Japan rate check, which had damaged USD momentum across the board. Hawkish Fed commentary was however the clearest drive
A majority of economists polled by Reuters expect the Swiss National Bank to hold its policy rate at zero through 2027, though a growing minority anticipate rate hikes next year. Interest rate futures currently price in three increases, starting in March.
France's 10-year borrowing costs exceeded Germany's by 104 basis points, the highest since 2012, amid investor concern over its high budget deficit and upcoming elections. The rising premium makes new borrowing more expensive and adds to debt-servicing costs.
(Updates throughout) Money markets price ECB benchmark rate near 3% by year-end German 2-year yields hit 3.263%, on track for sixth weekly gain French 10-year premium over Germany hits 1 percentage point By Amanda Cooper LONDON, Sept 18 (Reuters) — Euro zone bond prices fell and the premium investors demand to lend to
By Yoruk Bahceli and Leigh Thomas LONDON/PARIS, Sept 18 (Reuters) — The premium France pays to borrow on the bond markets compared to Germany rose to more than a whole percentage point on Friday for the first time since the euro zone debt crisis, underscoring investor unease with its stretched finances ahead of electio
French German 10 Year Bond Spread Hits 100Bps
Traders price almost 1 percentage point of ECB rate rises over next year Euro zone annual inflation accelerates to 3.3% in August from 2.9% in July Brent crude options show heaviest bets on $100 oil by end-December (Updates paragraph 18 of September 17 story with Bank of Japan rate rise) By Stefano Rebaudo, Harry Rober
FRANKFURT, Sept 18 (Reuters) — Below is the transcript of a Reuters interview with European Central Bank Vice President Boris Vujcic. Q: We are speaking less than a week after the ECB’s latest projections were published, and energy prices have already moved well above the baseline. How does this affect your outlook for
ECB's vice-president says energy is driving rate expectations ECB will look at broader set of indicators, Vujcic says High inflation through autumn could dampen growth Rate hike pace worth keeping 'for time being' By Francesco Canepa FRANKFURT, Sept 18 (Reuters) — Market bets on further European Central Bank rate hikes
The euro traded around $1.16 near its weakest level in more than a week as the dollar stayed supported by expectations the Federal Reserve will raise rates next week after hotter-than-expected US core inflation. The ECB raised rates on Thursday and warned inflation may remain well above target for an extended period.
The euro fell to around $1.16 as the dollar stayed supported ahead of upcoming US CPI data, while investors assessed the ECB’s latest policy and outlook for further rate hikes.
Euro zone government bond yields hit fresh multi-year highs ahead of the ECB meeting. Traders priced two ECB rate hikes in 2026 and a 3.1% policy rate by late 2027.
James Thorne said a Kevin Warsh-led Fed could repeat 2008 by tightening into an energy supply shock, and argued the ECB has already made that mistake.
The euro edged back above $1.16, supported by broad-based dollar weakness after a sharp yen rally. Easing oil prices also offered relief, while traders fully priced a 25-basis-point ECB hike to 2.5% next week.
White House said there are no new talks with Iran right now, while it weighs a new round of tariffs on chips amid sputtering Iran talks.
The euro holds just above $1.165 in the final full week of August, sustaining its highest level since mid-May as ECB rate-hike expectations and geopolitical energy risks persist.