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Europe Debt Concerns Please click here for an enlarged chart of Ishares Msci Brazil ETF (NYSE: EWZ ). Note the following: The chart shows EWZ leaped above zone 1 on election results. RSI on the chart shows EWZ is overbought. An overbought ETF is susceptible to a pullback. Brazil matters to U.S. investors because it is
U.S. stock futures are trending higher early Monday as Wall Street processes a surprisingly soft September jobs report and shifting geopolitical dynamics following Iran’s refusal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz without preconditions. The crowd on Polymarket, a Polygon (CRYPTO: POL) based prediction platform, is split bu
To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today. Jobs Report Shocker Please click here for an enlarged chart of SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE: SPY ) which represents the benchmark stock market index S&P 500 (SPX). Note the following: The chart shows the stock market is rising this morning. There are two reasons beh
Bond Danger Signal Please click here for an enlarged chart of iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ: TLT ). Note the following: The chart shows TLT has fallen below the Arora danger zone. RSI on the chart shows TLT is oversold. Prudent investors should note TLT falling below the Arora danger zone is very important
U.S. stocks look set to open on a mixed note on Thursday, with futures of the Dow Jones and S&P 500 indices falling, while the Nasdaq 100 futures rose, following Wednesday’s mixed close. Iran announced receiving a U.S. response regarding a proposal to restore the collapsed Gulf ceasefire as final U.S. troops completed
Micron Earnings Ahead Please click here for an enlarged chart of Micron Technology Inc (NASDAQ: MU ). Note the following: This article is about the big picture, not an individual stock. The chart of MU stock is being used to illustrate the point. The chart shows that leading up to last quarter’s release, MU stock ran i
Moody’s Analytics Chief Economist Mark Zandi cautioned that forecasts for consumer spending lack solid fundamentals, stating his growing unease over wage stagnation, dwindling savings, and rising borrowing costs. Pushback on Consumer Resilience During the latest Inside Economics podcast, Zandi challenged the prevailing
U.S. stocks look set to open in the green on Wednesday, with futures of the Dow Jones, S&P 500, and Nasdaq 100 indices rising, following Tuesday’s lower close. Before the opening bell, all eyes will be on the latest Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index, the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge, fo
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent appointed Jefferies strategist David Zervos as a department counselor to advise the agency on rising bond yields. A ‘Wall Street Geek’ Joins the Treasury According to CNBC, Zervos, who called himself a “Wall Street geek” in a brief interview, will serve in a broad advisory capacity and
Iran Hopium Dashed Please click here for an enlarged chart of the United States Oil ETF (NYSE: USO ). Note the following: The chart shows that this morning in the early trade oil ETF USO is rising. The chart shows that oil is now at the top band of zone 1 (resistance). The chart shows that oil is now at the same level
The S&P 500 dodged what is usually considered the weakest part of the four-year presidential cycle. According to Jeff Hirsch, editor of the Stock Trader’s Almanac, “market weakness has been modest and seasonally normal, and stocks are now entering the historically favorable Sweet Spot of the Four-Year Cycle, extending
Asian stock markets declined, while Indian equity markets experienced a sharp sell-off on Monday, with the BSE Sensex plunging 990 points, or 1.34%, to trade at 72,905. The broader retreat also saw Nikkei 225 drop 0.73% and China’s Shenzhen index plummet 3.44%. US Futures Drop Following Asian Market Fall The bearish se
Bonds In Danger Zone Please click here for an enlarged chart of iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ: TLT ). Note the following: In our analysis, smart money is adjusting stock market allocations based on the move in bonds. On the flip side, the momo crowd continues to be oblivious, and momo money flows continue
Mohamed El-Erian noted that the rise in bond yields stems from government borrowing and Fed signaling, but added that the yield surge relies on long-evident fundamentals rather than any sudden market shock. Market Compares Yields to 2007 Crisis The entire U.S. bond yield curve is reaching multi-year peaks. The one-year
U.S. stock futures declined on Thursday, as the Dow Jones, S&P 500, and Nasdaq 100 indices fell, following Wednesday’s mixed close. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent told Fox News that President Donald Trump ‘s aviation restrictions are working, noting that 80% to 90% of Iran’s external flights have been shut down under
U.S. stock futures are trending lower early Thursday as Wall Street prepares for high-stakes trade and AI discussions between U.S. President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping, alongside key retail earnings and housing market indicators. The Polymarket (CRYPTO: POL) crowd is leaning bearish for the Sept. 24
Quantum Computing Breakthrough Please click here for an enlarged chart of IONQ Inc (NYSE: IONQ ). Note the following: This article is about the big picture, not an individual stock. The chart of IONQ is being used to illustrate the point of a major technological breakthrough in the important technology of quantum compu
CPU Fever Please click here for an enlarged chart comparing NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ: NVDA ) and Invesco Optimum Yield Diversified Commodity Strategy No K-1 ETF (PDBC) Note the following: The chart shows that king of AI NVDA has returned 20.11% year to date. The chart shows that commodity ETF PDBC has returned 46.39% year t
Arkea AM flagged sustained market pressure as central banks kept policy restrictive amid geopolitical risk and sticky inflation. Brent hovered around USD 100-104 a barrel, up 18% in a month, with Middle East risk offset by improved shipping through Hormuz. Fed began a tightening cycle with a 25 bp hike; August CPI ran
Buying On Hopium Please click here for an enlarged chart of Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF (NYSE: SOXL ). Note the following: Semiconductors reflect the AI trade, and SOXL is the momo crowd’s favorite. The chart shows SOXL bounced above the top band of zone 3 (support) on Friday due to triple witching buying.
The S&P 500 averages a 3.0% return in October during midterm election years, making it the “best month” for stocks. Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group, uses this historical midterm seasonality to forecast a rally, overriding investor fear and election noise surrounding President Donald Trump. The His
The national average price for diesel reached $6.51 per gallon on Monday. A commodity strategist stated the supply disruption has moved into a diesel market that “no handshake can refill.” Record Prices Hit Harvest and Freight The U.S. average diesel price hit an all-time high of $6.5107 per gallon on Sept. 21, 2026, a
U.S. stock futures are trending higher early Monday as investors digest a stark warning from President Donald Trump to Iran alongside cooling crude oil prices, while looking ahead to a week of key consumer retail earnings. The Polymarket (CRYPTO: POL) crowd is heavily bullish for the Sept. 21 trading session. The “S&P
Pershing Square CEO Bill Ackman warned that "hell is coming" in March 2020 before executing a $27 million credit hedge that generated $2.6 billion in proceeds, which he subsequently redeployed into equities during the COVID-19 market crash. The Misunderstood Warning During a 28-minute CNBC segment in 2020, Ackman recou
Reaction To Japan Rate Hike Please click here for an enlarged chart comparing SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE: SPY ) which represents the benchmark stock market index S&P 500 (SPX) and iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ). Note the following: The chart shows Japan ETF EWJ has outperformed S&P 500 by 81%. Excluding the impact of t
U.S. stock futures advanced on Friday, as the Dow Jones, S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 indices rose, following Thursday’s higher close. Crude oil slipped while gas prices continued to climb as President Donald Trump weighs a “big decision” on potential military strikes against Iran ahead of upcoming talks with Gulf leaders re
U.S. stocks are higher in early trade as triple witching approaches, oil falls and investors focus on rate-cut hopes. The piece also cites stronger AI-related money flows, softer housing data and mixed macro prints.
U.S. stock futures advanced on Thursday, as the Dow Jones, S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 indices rose, following Wednesday’s lower close. In a unanimous vote, all 12 Federal Open Market Committee members approved a 25-basis-point increase in the federal funds rate, bringing the target range to 3.75%—4.00%. Amid the Middle Eas
Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh spent his first post-hike press conference reiterating the Fed’s battle against inflation, and stocks gave back the entire session’s advance while he did it. “Today’s action starts to show we are serious about this,” Warsh said. “And we will deliver on the price stability objective, an
The Federal Reserve delivered the quarter-point rate hike Wall Street expected Wednesday. But its new projections suggest the Fed isn’t done: 16 of 18 policymakers see at least one more increase this year. The Fed unanimously raised its target rate to 3.75%-4%, its first increase since 2023. Median Projection Implies O