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(Updates throughout with background and analyst comments) Sept 24 (Reuters) — BofA Global Research expects the European Central Bank to raise interest rates by 25 basis points in December, citing a renewed energy shock that will keep euro zone inflation above the central bank's target for longer. Rising gas and oil pri
BofA Global Research expects the European Central Bank to raise interest rates by 25 basis points in December, citing a renewed energy shock that will keep euro zone inflation above the central bank's target for longer.Rising gas and oil prices are adding to inflation concerns in Europe, with persi…
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY * MNI FED: Gov Barr: Base Case Is For Further Hikes: #83aa171c-7fc4-49fd-82f5-351bcb071d96 * MNI IRAN: Security Chief Says In No Rush To Negotiate: #5df7e2ac-e490-4920-91fd-84069fe559a3 * MNI IRAN: Pezeshkian Talks On Nuclear, Hormuz & US Stance In UN Address: #c9b6854d-8cab-47cb-8646-ce411062279c * M
HIGHLIGHTS * Gov Barr (permanent FOMC voter)'s speech Tuesday is primarily on the longer-term outlook for the housing sector, but importantly he notes that his "base case" is for "further policy adjustments" (plural) * Iranian security chief Rezaii via Irib: "Iran has not been in a hurry to negotiate; today, Iran's con
The European Central Bank will have to raise interest rates again if high energy prices feed through to other areas but so far there is no sign of such second-round inflation effects, ECB policymaker Gabriel Makhlouf said on Wednesday."Although inflation is above our target, we're not seeing the so…
Highlights: * Xi Jinping heads to Washington, meetings with Trump in focus * Flash PMI data in focus, as well as more Fedspeak * USD strength pervades, putting key levels in both GBPUSD and USDMXN into view US TSYS: Paring Gains, Flash PMIs Ahead, Trump Welcomes Xi Tonight: s-xi-tonight-1790161492747 Treasuries are mil
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY * TRUMP HAILS IRAN TALKS EVEN AS TEHRAN SETS 'FIRM POSITIONS': #0244e48b-2945-4b3b-8085-728a924ddf38 * ZELENSKY ASKS TRUMP FOR WINTER ARMS PACKAGE, EXPECTS ENERGY-CEASEFIRE PUSH: WSJ: #cddd3044-ae77-4efa-9233-fb28b1e6f368 * NAGEL SAYS 'VIGILANT' ECB MAY NEED MILDLY RESTRICTIVE RATES: #13be4029-5b8c-40
* Oil has continued to trend lower during Wednesday's APAC session as talks continue on the sidelines of this week's UN gathering. The fact negotiations are even taking place to facilitate Middle East energy shipments is driving optimism in markets but the situation remains very precarious. UST futures are higher, but
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY * TRUMP HAILS 'VERY GOOD' IRAN TALKS FOLLOWING ANNIHILATION THREAT - BBG: #cdbad0a1-5c8d-4cdb-9819-370162b99299 * ZELENSKY ASKS TRUMP FOR WINTER ARMS PACKAGE, EXPECTS ENERGY-CEASEFIRE PUSH - WSJ: #a4c79a68-e487-466b-a806-4885fa3200e0 * LASTING SHOCKS, FIRMING DEMAND REQUIRE FED ACTION - BARKIN - MNI
The euro weakened to $1.145, its lowest level since late July, as investors assessed developments in the Middle East while the USD remained supported by expectations of further Federal Reserve rate hikes. Brent crude resumed its decline after reports that Iran had offered to reopen the Strait of Hormuz within seven day
A majority of economists polled by Reuters expect the Swiss National Bank to hold its policy rate at zero through 2027, though a growing minority anticipate rate hikes next year. Interest rate futures currently price in three increases, starting in March.
Wholesale natural gas prices are up more than 140% compared to a year earlier and subsequent changes mean that retail prices will also respond more quickly, the European Central Bank said in an Economic Bulletin on Monday. Wholesale gas prices will be passed onto gas inflation within 1 to 3 months in over half of euro
Traders price almost 1 percentage point of ECB rate rises over next year Euro zone annual inflation accelerates to 3.3% in August from 2.9% in July Brent crude options show heaviest bets on $100 oil by end-December (Updates paragraph 18 of September 17 story with Bank of Japan rate rise) By Stefano Rebaudo, Harry Rober
The CAC 40 gained 0.6% to close at 8,188, with the rally supported by slowing bond-yield pressure.
The euro traded around $1.16 near its weakest level in more than a week as the dollar stayed supported by expectations the Federal Reserve will raise rates next week after hotter-than-expected US core inflation. The ECB raised rates on Thursday and warned inflation may remain well above target for an extended period.
The euro fell to around $1.16 as the dollar stayed supported ahead of upcoming US CPI data, while investors assessed the ECB’s latest policy and outlook for further rate hikes.
The CAC 40 fell 0.5% to close at 8,117 on Thursday after the ECB raised its key interest rate to 2.5%. The 25-basis-point hike was followed by luxury and industrial stock losses.
ECB PRESIDENT CHRISTINE LAGARDE: THE NEAR-TERM GROWTH OUTLOOK HAS IMPROVED; THE LABOUR MARKET REMAINS ROBUST
The euro pared earlier losses to trade around $1.162 after the ECB raised interest rates as expected. The ECB also upgraded inflation and GDP growth forecasts, keeping its 2026 inflation forecast at 3.0% while raising 2027 and 2028 projections.
European stocks moved lower on Thursday, with STOXX 50 and STOXX 600 falling 0.3%. The move reverses early gains and extended losses of more than 1% from the prior session.
MORE ECB MINUTES: THE MIDDLE EAST CONFLICT CONTINUES TO GENERATE INFLATION; INFLATION SET TO REMAIN WELL ABOVE TARGET FOR SOME TIME
ECB: Middle East conflict continues to drive inflation pressures, inflation to stay well above target for prolonged period
CAC 40 edged 0.1% higher to close at 8,318, supported by gains in industrial and energy stocks. France exports rose 0.3% month over month to €54.7 billion in July, while eurozone inflation accelerated to 3.3% in August.
The CAC 40 fell 0.4% to 8,270 on Tuesday, reversing prior gains and hitting its lowest level since July. Investors weighed rising oil prices and inflation pressures as Middle East tensions escalated.
European stocks ended near flat while Brent climbed above $97, German Bund yields rose and Germany’s AfD won a major state-level vote, deepening political uncertainty.
The euro slipped slightly below $1.16 after Eurozone annual inflation rose to 3.3% in August, its highest since September 2023. ECB deposit-rate expectations now price around 2.70% by December.
ECB minutes state virtually no contribution to above-target inflation from aggregate demand or fiscal policy, unlike 2021-22.
ECB Accounts: The projected duration of above-target inflation was seen as an important reason for continuing to monitor the intensity and persistence of the energy price shock.
The euro stays above $1.165 in the final full week of August, its strongest since mid-May, while markets weigh expectations for a more hawkish ECB and details on Iran sanctions.
The euro strengthened above $1.170 to its highest level since May, supported by improving August Eurozone business activity, a softer US dollar, and easing inflation expectations.