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The S&P 500 Index has moved sideways since August and is hovering near its record high. It ended last week at 7,722 points, about 1.2% below the peak of 7,817 points. This article looks at the key catalysts likely to drive the stock market this week. US Stocks to React to Key Corporate Earnings The main catalyst for th
Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA ) stock briefly flipped a crucial resistance level on Friday as investors rotated back to artificial intelligence companies. It jumped to a record high of $237 before pulling back to end the week at $233, with investors focusing on the upcoming earnings season for cues on data center spending. Nvid
Gold climbed toward $4,200 an ounce on Thursday, recovering losses from the previous session as softer-than-expected US PCE inflation data reduced expectations for a Federal Reserve interest rate hike this month. The US PCE price index rose 0.3% in August, below the 0.4% forecast, while core PCE increased 0.2%, also co
The US 10-year Treasury yield traded near 5.3% on Thursday, while the 30-year yield stood around 5.64%, with both reaching their highest levels since 2002 amid concerns that persistent energy-driven inflation could prompt tighter monetary policy. Deteriorating fiscal conditions, growing US government debt and weaker-th
The dollar index strengthened to around 101.5 on Thursday, nearing its highest level since April 2025 as Treasury yields climbed to multi-decade highs amid concerns that persistent energy-driven inflation could lead to tighter monetary policy. The 10- and 30-year US Treasury yields traded around 5.3% and 5.64%, respect
Gold slipped toward $4,150 an ounce on Thursday after surrendering gains from the previous session, as elevated oil prices and Treasury yields outweighed support from softer-than-expected US inflation data. The US PCE price index rose 0.3% in August, below the 0.4% forecast, while core PCE increased 0.2%, also falling
US stock indices closed mostly lower on Wednesday as a rebound in oil prices limited gains from slower-than-expected PCE inflation. The S&P 500 fell 0.2% and the Dow shed 444 points, while the Nasdaq gained 0.2%. Financials weighed on the Dow and on the S&P 500 as yields remained elevated amid higher oil prices and lit
The Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge came in below expectations in August. Technical revisions—not easing price pressures— drove the decline. Annual national accounts revisions from the Bureau of Economic Analysis lowered July headline PCE inflation to 3.4% (from 3.7%) and core PCE to 3% (from 3.3%). Both ra
The US 10-year Treasury yield rose to 5.3% on Wednesday, approaching its highest level since 2002, as the bond market appeared largely unshaken by softer-than-expected inflation data. The PCE price index rose 0.3% in August, below expectations for a 0.4% increase, while core PCE advanced 0.2%, also missing forecasts. M
Micron Earnings Ahead Please click here for an enlarged chart of Micron Technology Inc (NASDAQ: MU ). Note the following: This article is about the big picture, not an individual stock. The chart of MU stock is being used to illustrate the point. The chart shows that leading up to last quarter’s release, MU stock ran i
U.S. stocks are higher at midday Wednesday, led by technology and software shares, after softer-than-expected inflation data eased fears of another Federal Reserve rate hike. Oil is climbing again, however, and long-dated Treasury yields remain close to multi-decade highs. • United Therapeutics stock is charging ahead
A cooler-than-expected reading on the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge has strengthened the case for Treasury bonds, after August data showed price pressures easing more than economists expected. The Personal Consumption Expenditures ( PCE) price index rose 0.3% month over month in August, below the 0.4% con
GDP rose 2.2% versus 1.5% expected. The GDP price index was 6.1% versus 6.4% expected, and core PCE prices were 3.3% versus 3.6% expected.
August PCE inflation rose 0.3% month-on-month and 3.4% year-on-year, below expectations. Core PCE rose 0.2% monthly and 3.3% annually, also cooler than predicted. Second-quarter GDP was revised up to a 2.2% annualized rate, while September private sector jobs added by ADP surged to 90,000, exceeding forecasts.
US Treasury yields declined on Wednesday as markets priced in a lower probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike in October following inflation data that showed a smaller-than-expected increase in August. The 2-year Treasury yield fell 5.19 basis points to 4.837% and the 10-year yield dropped 1.45 basis points to 5.241
Major U.S. stock indexes traded higher as a softer-than-expected PCE inflation report increased hopes the Federal Reserve might hold off on further rate hikes. Headline PCE rose 0.3% in August, below forecasts, while core PCE rose 0.2%.
Fundstrat’s Tom Lee stated that cooling inflation data and a shift in rhetoric from the Federal Reserve will benefit equities. A Shift in FOMC Hawkishness In a post on X, Lee offered what he called a “contrarian take” regarding the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy path. Lee noted that New York Fed President John Willi
Gold rose to around $4,200 an ounce Wednesday, as softer-than-expected US inflation data eased expectations of another Federal Reserve rate hike as soon as next month. The PCE price index rose 0.3% in August, below expectations of 0.4%, while core PCE increased 0.2%, also below forecasts of 0.3%. Annually, headline PCE
US stock futures rose, with S&P 500 E-mini futures gaining about 0.4%, after the August PCE report showed inflation rose 0.3% month-on-month, below the 0.4% estimate. The annual rate was 2.6%, below the 3.7% forecast.
US stock futures extended gains on Wednesday, with S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures up 0.3% and Dow futures gaining 130 points, as a cooler-than-expected inflation reading boosted hopes that the Federal Reserve may not raise interest rates again as soon as next month. The PCE price index rose 0.3% in August, below expect
Personal Consumption: 3.8% (est 3.4%; prev 3.4%) - GDP Price Index: 6.1% (est 6.4%; prev 6.4%) - Core PCE Price Index (Q/Q): 3.3% (est 3.6%; prev 3.6%)
Sept 30 (Reuters) — U.S. Commerce Department personal income and spending estimates, in seasonally adjusted annual rates. Percent Changes, current dollars Aug July Personal Income 0.2 0.3 Personal Consumption 0.9 0.1 Saving Rate, pct 4.1 4.6 Percent Changes, chained 2017 dollars Aug July Personal Consumption 0.6 0.1 Pe
US BEA: Q2 CORE PCE DEFLATOR +3.8% (PREV +4.0%) VS Q1 +3.8% (PREV +4.0%)
U.S. stocks look set to open in the green on Wednesday, with futures of the Dow Jones, S&P 500, and Nasdaq 100 indices rising, following Tuesday’s lower close. Before the opening bell, all eyes will be on the latest Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index, the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge, fo
Spot gold was little changed at $4,178.59/oz by 0037 GMT and down nearly 6% in September. US PCE price index is due at 1230 GMT and nonfarm payrolls on Friday.
The Day Ahead preview flags expected US PCE inflation, second-quarter GDP, ADP payrolls and the advance goods trade balance. It also lists remarks from several Federal Reserve officials and upcoming earnings from Micron Technology and Conagra Brands.
UBP said strong US data, firm energy prices and Fed hike expectations helped drive long-term yields higher, while technology led equity gains.
Gold has spent 2026 living through a war in the Gulf, an oil shock and inflation stuck above 3%. That should have been ideal for a hedge against inflation and disorder. Instead, the metal trades roughly 25% below its January peak. The reason is a number the bond market last printed in 2007. The 10-year Treasury yield r
In the US, attention will increasingly turn towards Friday’s September payrolls report. Following August’s stronger-than-expected gain of 162k, our economists expect payrolls to rise by around 45k in September (Friday), with the unemployment rate unchanged at 4.1% and average hourly earnings growth steady at +0.3% mont
U.S. stock futures declined on Monday, as the Dow Jones, S&P 500, and Nasdaq 100 indices fell, following Friday’s higher close. This tracked a sharp sell-off across Asian equities as surging U.S. Treasury yields and volatile crude prices weighed heavily on risk assets. Meanwhile, oil prices climbed after President Dona