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August PCE inflation rose 0.3% month-on-month and 3.4% year-on-year, below expectations. Core PCE rose 0.2% monthly and 3.3% annually, also cooler than predicted. Second-quarter GDP was revised up to a 2.2% annualized rate, while September private sector jobs added by ADP surged to 90,000, exceeding forecasts.
Major U.S. stock indexes traded higher as a softer-than-expected PCE inflation report increased hopes the Federal Reserve might hold off on further rate hikes. Headline PCE rose 0.3% in August, below forecasts, while core PCE rose 0.2%.
US MNI Chicago PMI Sep: 58.8 (est 51.0; prev 47.1)
US Chicago PMI Actual 58.8 (Forecast 51, Previous 47.1)
US Chicago PMI
US stock futures rose, with S&P 500 E-mini futures gaining about 0.4%, after the August PCE report showed inflation rose 0.3% month-on-month, below the 0.4% estimate. The annual rate was 2.6%, below the 3.7% forecast.
Economic releases scheduled: MBA Mortgage Applications (7:00 AM ET), ADP Employment Report (8:15 AM ET), GDP—International Trade in Goods (Advance) (8:15 AM ET), Personal Income and Outlays, Corporate Profits, Retail Inventories (Advance), Wholesale Inventories (Advance) (8:30 AM ET), Chicago PMI (9:45 AM ET), EIA Petr
CBOT soybeans fell 0.02% to $12.97-1/2 a bushel by 0107 GMT, while wheat and corn rose; traders also monitored China’s planned tariff cuts excluding soy and US harvest progress ahead of the quarterly stocks report.
U.S. stock futures declined on Monday, as the Dow Jones, S&P 500, and Nasdaq 100 indices fell, following Friday’s higher close. This tracked a sharp sell-off across Asian equities as surging U.S. Treasury yields and volatile crude prices weighed heavily on risk assets. Meanwhile, oil prices climbed after President Dona
US labor market data will dominate the week, with Friday's payrolls report expected to show 100,000 jobs added in September. Micron, Nike and several Fed officials are also on the calendar.
US Chicago PMI
Highlights: * Xi Jinping heads to Washington, meetings with Trump in focus * Flash PMI data in focus, as well as more Fedspeak * USD strength pervades, putting key levels in both GBPUSD and USDMXN into view US TSYS: Paring Gains, Flash PMIs Ahead, Trump Welcomes Xi Tonight: s-xi-tonight-1790161492747 Treasuries are mil
Treasuries are mildly firmer, near recent lows with curves bull flattening: 2s10s at late February 2025 levels. Similar moves in EGBs following hawkish flash PMIs and softer crude prices. Oil decline as talks continue on sidelines following yesterday's UN gathering - US special envoy Witkoff said that lengthy talks hav
Economist Robin Brooks said Treasury yields are climbing even as U.S. data has come in weaker than expected, calling that disconnect a sign of unusually weak demand for Treasury debt.
U.S. stock futures advanced Thursday after Wednesday’s higher close, with President Donald Trump saying the market will go up despite Iran war and oil volatility.
US Chicago PMI new orders index dropped 15.4 points in August vs July; order backlogs fell 12.1.
US Chicago PMI prices paid index rose 3.8 points in August vs July, reaching its highest since Feb 2022. Some respondents cited rising metals prices.
US Chicago PMI production fell 8.8, marking the first contractionary reading since December.
US CHICAGO PMI: AUG. SURVEY PERIOD WAS AUG. 1-12
US MNI Chicago PMI for August printed 47.1 versus 57.9 estimate and 57.6 prior.
U.S. stock futures were mixed Friday, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 lower and the Dow higher ahead of Kevin Warsh’s Jackson Hole speech. Treasury yields were also in focus.
US Chicago PMI
There is a faster way to read the U.S. economy than reading the economic data. Look at the price of copper. The metal has gained nearly 50% over the past 12 months, its strongest rolling annual advance since 2021. It is also testing all-time highs after reaching $6.52 per pound on Monday, trading just 2% below May’s al
US Chicago PMI July Report
US MNI Chicago PMI Jul: 57.6 (est 56.0; prev 56.7)
US Chicago PMI Actual 57.6 (Forecast 56, Previous 56.7)
US Chicago PMI
Summary US equity market looked to finish off quarter and month on an up note. Tech did a good portion of the heavy lifting, unwinding some the mega-cap weakness/rotations seen into quarter's end. May JOLTS jobs data jumped up towards 7.6M openings, pushing up Treasury yields marginally. EU CPI readings were broadly co
Summary US equity market looked to finish off quarter and month on an up note. Tech did a good portion of the heavy lifting, unwinding some the mega-cap weakness/rotations seen into quarters end. May JOLTS jobs data jumped up towards 7.6M openings pushing up Treasury yields marginally. EU CPI readings were broadly cool
Summary US equity market looked to finish off quarter and month on an up note. Tech did a good portion of the heavy lifting, unwinding some the mega-cap weakness/rotations seen into quarters end. May JOLTS jobs data jumped up towards 7.6M openings pushing up Treasury yields marginally. EU CPI readings were broadly cool