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News 2026-09-30 12:53 UTC

Fed's Favorite Inflation Gauge Holds at 3.4%, Cooling Rate-Hike Bets

Inflation as measured by the Federal Reserve’s preferred came in cooler than expected last month, according to data released Wednesday by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. The personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index rose 0.3% month-over-month, below economists’ expectations of 0.4%. On an annual basis, headl

News 2026-09-30 07:47 UTC

Euro zone yields retreat from peaks; Germany 10-year at 3.57%

Euro zone yields dipped on Wednesday as markets turned more cautious on central bank rate hikes. Germany’s 10-year yield was down at 3.57%, edging away from the 3.65% peak on Monday, while France’s 10-year fell 3 bps to 4.78% and Italy’s dropped 6 bps to 4.57%.

News 2026-09-29 14:22 UTC

Forget About VIX: This Bond Volatility Gauge Is What Traders Are Watching Now

Look at the stock market this week and everything seems quiet. The S&P 500 is close to its highs, and Wall Street's favorite fear gauge, the VIX, is sitting near 16, a level that usually means investors are relaxed. The bond market is telling a very different story. A widely-followed bond volatility indicator is flashi

News 2026-09-28 11:51 UTC

Bitcoin Falls to $83,000 as Gold Plunges 3% on Fresh Oil Price Surge

Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) is down 1.5% Monday morning as gold, measured by SPDR Gold Shares (NASDAQ: GLD ), slid 3% against the backdrop of a renewed surge in oil prices. Brent crude climbed toward $108 a barrel after Tehran refused to soften its demands for reopening the Strait of Hormuz. Meanwhile, President Donald Trump

News 2026-09-18 07:07 UTC

GRAPHIC — Rising oil, rates and yields brew up stagflation cocktail for markets

Traders price almost 1 percentage point of ECB rate rises over next year Euro zone annual inflation accelerates to 3.3% in August from 2.9% in July Brent crude options show heaviest bets on $100 oil by end-December (Updates paragraph 18 of September 17 story with Bank of Japan rate rise) By Stefano Rebaudo, Harry Rober

News 2026-09-11 13:30 UTC

Hot core CPI lifts September hike odds to 80%

Prediction-market and futures pricing moved sharply toward a September Federal Reserve rate hike after core inflation came in hotter than expected. Polymarket put the chance of a 25-basis-point hike around 80%, while CME FedWatch showed 91.6% Friday morning.

News 2026-07-15 08:25 UTC

Stock Market: Will S&P 500 Open Up or Down Today?

The S&P 500 ended higher on Tuesday after a softer-than-expected inflation report boosted hopes that the Federal Reserve may not need to tighten monetary policy as aggressively this year. Polymarket traders now expect the benchmark index to extend those gains at Wednesday’s open. The S&P 500 rose 0.38% to close at 7,54