'Something Will Break': Ross Gerber Sounds Alarm as Treasury Yields Hit Decades-High Levels, Bond Volatility Flashes 2008 Crisis Signals
A sharp spike in bond market volatility is raising alarm on Wall Street, with investor Ross Gerber warning that rising Treasury yields are pushing the market toward a breaking point. ‘ Something Will Break’ The 10-year Treasury yield sat at 5.243%, its highest in 19 years, while the 30-year yield was at 5.553%, its highest in 22 years. The Gerber Kawasaki Wealth & Investment Management CEO said in a post on X that the 10-year Treasury yield has continued to climb day by day, warning that “at some point something will break” if the trend continues. 10 yr treasury 5.23% and continues to have higher yields by the day… at some point something will break if this continues. — Ross Gerber (@GerberKawasaki) September 28, 2026 Read Also: Stock Market: Will S&P 500 Open Up or Down Today? The Last Three Times This Happened, Something Broke Market commentator Bull Theory said the Merrill Lynch Option Volatility Estimate Index, which tracks volatility in U.S. Treasury yields, jumped from around 80 to above 104 in two days — the sharpest move in months. The index hit an all-time high near 265 during the 2008 financial crisis, spiked again as investors rushed into cash during the 2020 COVID panic
A sharp spike in bond market volatility is raising alarm on Wall Street, with investor Ross Gerber warning that rising Treasury yields are pushing the market toward a breaking point. 553%, its highest in 22 years. The Gerber Kawasaki Wealth & Investment Management CEO said in a post on X that the 10-year Treasury yield has continued to climb day by day, warning that “at some point something will break” if the trend continues. 23% and continues to have higher yields by the day… at some point something will break if this continues.
— Ross Gerber (@GerberKawasaki) September 28, 2026 Read Also: Stock Market: Will S&P 500 Open Up or Down Today? S. Treasury yields, jumped from around 80 to above 104 in two days — the sharpest move in months. The index hit an all-time high near 265 during the 2008 financial crisis, spiked again as investors rushed into cash during the 2020 COVID panic, and jumped once more in 2023 when Silicon Valley Bank and several regional banks collapsed.
🚨 The last three times bond volatility spiked like this, something broke. 82. Why This Spike Is Different The spike isn’t driven by panic, but by higher oil prices, strong growth data, and rising Fed rate-hike expectations pushing yields up together, the commentator said. 91, at the time of writing, as tensions over the Iran conflict continued to weigh on oil markets.
3% chance of another interest rate hike in October by the Federal Reserve, per the CME FedWatch Tool, following the Fed’s 25-basis-point increase earlier this month — its first hike since 2023. Since Treasury yields underpin mortgage rates, corporate borrowing costs and government debt, instability in the bond market rarely stays contained to bonds alone, the commentator added. 09% in after-hours trading. edge rankings indicate the iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF has a Momentum score in the 23rd percentile and a negative price trend in the short, medium, and long term.
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