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Europe Debt Concerns Please click here for an enlarged chart of Ishares Msci Brazil ETF (NYSE: EWZ ). Note the following: The chart shows EWZ leaped above zone 1 on election results. RSI on the chart shows EWZ is overbought. An overbought ETF is susceptible to a pullback. Brazil matters to U.S. investors because it is
To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today. Jobs Report Shocker Please click here for an enlarged chart of SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE: SPY ) which represents the benchmark stock market index S&P 500 (SPX). Note the following: The chart shows the stock market is rising this morning. There are two reasons beh
Bond Danger Signal Please click here for an enlarged chart of iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ: TLT ). Note the following: The chart shows TLT has fallen below the Arora danger zone. RSI on the chart shows TLT is oversold. Prudent investors should note TLT falling below the Arora danger zone is very important
Micron Earnings Ahead Please click here for an enlarged chart of Micron Technology Inc (NASDAQ: MU ). Note the following: This article is about the big picture, not an individual stock. The chart of MU stock is being used to illustrate the point. The chart shows that leading up to last quarter’s release, MU stock ran i
Major stock indexes fell, with the MSCI world gauge down 0.83%, as oil prices resumed their rise and Treasury yields extended gains. Spot gold dropped 3.5% to a more than seven-week low.
Iran Hopium Dashed Please click here for an enlarged chart of the United States Oil ETF (NYSE: USO ). Note the following: The chart shows that this morning in the early trade oil ETF USO is rising. The chart shows that oil is now at the top band of zone 1 (resistance). The chart shows that oil is now at the same level
Barclays said rising bond yields are reducing equities’ relative appeal, even as resilient earnings and AI-related growth continue to support stocks.
Barclays warned that rising bond yields are reducing the relative appeal of stocks, with the extra return equities offer over bonds near multi-decade lows.
Bonds In Danger Zone Please click here for an enlarged chart of iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ: TLT ). Note the following: In our analysis, smart money is adjusting stock market allocations based on the move in bonds. On the flip side, the momo crowd continues to be oblivious, and momo money flows continue
Quantum Computing Breakthrough Please click here for an enlarged chart of IONQ Inc (NYSE: IONQ ). Note the following: This article is about the big picture, not an individual stock. The chart of IONQ is being used to illustrate the point of a major technological breakthrough in the important technology of quantum compu
CPU Fever Please click here for an enlarged chart comparing NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ: NVDA ) and Invesco Optimum Yield Diversified Commodity Strategy No K-1 ETF (PDBC) Note the following: The chart shows that king of AI NVDA has returned 20.11% year to date. The chart shows that commodity ETF PDBC has returned 46.39% year t
The S&P 500 index advanced to within 1% of its record high on Monday while its constituents simultaneously registered more 52-week lows than highs, triggering a market signal observed only twice in the past century. Historical Market Breadth Signal On Monday, the S&P 500 rose 1.49% to close at 7,764.70. This places the
Market breadth has deteriorated in recent months, but the stress remains well below the levels seen in March, with 14 percent of stocks in the Nifty Total Market universe now trading within 5 percent of their 52-week lows versus 40 percent during the March selloff, according to Yes Securities. The…
Market Overview The Fed raised rates by 25 basis points and stocks shrugged it off. The Nasdaq outperformed for the third week in a row and finished up 0.72%. The S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average finished 0.08% and 1.69% lower. Money looks to be rotating back into risk assets again, especially crypto. Remember
The article says the iShares Russell 2000 ETF has fallen more than twice as much as SPY over the past month as market breadth narrows again. It also points to higher energy prices, tighter financial conditions and renewed semiconductors-and-energy leadership.
The VIX closed in the low 14s to 17s through August, and strategists said the long calm, tight credit spreads and weak correlation can mask rising systemic risk.
European stocks traded cautiously, with STOXX 50 and STOXX 600 fluctuating near one-month lows as investors assessed elevated Middle East hostilities. Trump said the conflict would not last “too long,” while oil and bond yields stabilized.
Euro STOXX 50 fell 0.1% to 6,363 and STOXX Europe 600 fell 0.2% to 646. Borrowing-cost pressures and renewed Middle East fighting lifted oil and gas, weighing utilities and consumer stocks.
Oil is rising after the U.S. struck two rocket launchers on Larak Island, with traders also reacting to hawkish comments from Warsh and broad early selling in stocks.
US gasoline futures traded around $3.3 per gallon as geopolitical risks persisted and EIA data showed gasoline inventories fell 2.536 million barrels in the week ending August 21, leaving stocks 6% below the five-year average.
U.S. stock futures were mixed Thursday, with the Dow slipping and the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 rising after Wednesday’s lower close. Nvidia gained 7.32% in premarket after better-than-expected second-quarter results and a strong third-quarter revenue forecast.
SPY trades at 7713 and is down 0.72% as it hits intraday lows into the close, per Hammerstone MarketTalk; no further catalyst was supplied.
Markets now price about a 25% chance of a September Federal Reserve rate hike on Polymarket, down from around 60% earlier this month, after July CPI and PPI met or undershot estimates and weak payrolls added to easing expectations.
E-mini S&P 500 futures rallied to close out the week near 7775, advancing over 3% from the previous Friday's close. The move was supported by a weaker-than-expected payroll report and easing Middle East tensions, which tempered rate hike expectations for upcoming FOMC meetings. Equity gains pushed volatility lower towa
SPY and QQQ approach lows
SPY approaches low point
SPY Spuz back down near the lows -1.1% at 7,495 (overnight low 7,491.25)
SPY spuz near premarket lows -0.4% to $7,585
SPY spuz crosses back to green +0.11%, VIX back near the lows down 3.4% to 15.94
Gold futures fell 1.5% to trade at 4,038, approaching the seven-month closing low of 4,009 established last week. The precious metals complex faced broad selling pressure throughout June, driven by rising yields on the short end of the interest rate curve. A resilient U.S. dollar holding near the top of its recent rang