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US stocks are bracing for volatility as several major events converge, including the earnings season, Federal Reserve decisions, the midterm elections, and the conflict between the US and Iran. These events come as the S&P 500 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average hover near their record highs. This article highlights s
A softer-than-expected September jobs report pushed the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 to a record high on Friday, as traders pulled back bets on another Federal Reserve rate hike this month. The U.S. economy added just 29,000 jobs in September, well short of the 90,000 economists expected. The unemployment rate unexpectedly ro
To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today. Jobs Report Shocker Please click here for an enlarged chart of SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE: SPY ) which represents the benchmark stock market index S&P 500 (SPX). Note the following: The chart shows the stock market is rising this morning. There are two reasons beh
U.S. stocks climbed at midday Friday, with the Nasdaq 100 leading and reaching new record highs, after a much weaker-than-expected September jobs report pared bets on further Federal Reserve rate hikes. Chip stocks led the move as Nvidia Corp. (NASDAQ: NVDA ) hit a record high at $237.88 per share. Nonfarm payrolls ros
Bond Danger Signal Please click here for an enlarged chart of iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ: TLT ). Note the following: The chart shows TLT has fallen below the Arora danger zone. RSI on the chart shows TLT is oversold. Prudent investors should note TLT falling below the Arora danger zone is very important
Market research platform Bull Theory said on Wednesday that a Republican loss in the November midterms could be the “trigger” that bursts the AI bubble. AI Becoming More Dependent on External Financing? In an X post, Bull Theory argued that the AI industry’s growth is heavily reliant on capital spending, with major hyp
Micron Earnings Ahead Please click here for an enlarged chart of Micron Technology Inc (NASDAQ: MU ). Note the following: This article is about the big picture, not an individual stock. The chart of MU stock is being used to illustrate the point. The chart shows that leading up to last quarter’s release, MU stock ran i
U.S. stocks are higher at midday Wednesday, led by technology and software shares, after softer-than-expected inflation data eased fears of another Federal Reserve rate hike. Oil is climbing again, however, and long-dated Treasury yields remain close to multi-decade highs. • United Therapeutics stock is charging ahead
Oil prices above $100 a barrel and Treasury yields near multi-year highs would ordinarily create a favorable backdrop for energy stocks and a challenging one for technology. Yet Tuesday’s ETF market is telling a more complicated story. The Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE: XLE ) fell 1.59% in early trading Tuesday,
Nasdaq 100 Top Performers Percent Change Palo Alto Networks, Inc. +4.9% CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. +2.9% Intuitive Surgical, Inc. +2.3% Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. +2.2% NVIDIA Corporation +2.2% Bottom Performers Percent Change ARM Holdings PLC -8.4% QUALCOMM Incorporated -7.1% Intel Corp -6.2% Doordash, Inc. -5.8%
At 12:00 p.m., the S&P 500 was down 59.11 points, or 0.76%, to 7,684.30, with 3 new 52-week highs and 27 lows.
NVIDIA, Old Dominion Freight Line and Palo Alto Networks were among the top performers. ARM Holdings, Qualcomm, DoorDash, Intel and Lumentum were the bottom performers. The Nasdaq 100 lost 1.54%.
Wall Street closed the week riding a semiconductor rebound that pushed the AI infrastructure trade back into favor, even as a spike in Treasury yields tested the rally’s staying power. Advanced Micro Devices Inc. (NASDAQ: AMD ) supplied the week’s biggest milestone. Shares surged as much as 10% on Monday, pushing the c
Bonds In Danger Zone Please click here for an enlarged chart of iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ: TLT ). Note the following: In our analysis, smart money is adjusting stock market allocations based on the move in bonds. On the flip side, the momo crowd continues to be oblivious, and momo money flows continue
U.S. stocks slid at midday Wednesday as the 10-year Treasury yield surged to its highest level since 2007, after blowout September PMI data cemented bets for another Federal Reserve rate hike and sent traders scrambling out of richly valued growth names. The yield on the 10-year Treasury note jumped 12 basis points to
Quantum Computing Breakthrough Please click here for an enlarged chart of IONQ Inc (NYSE: IONQ ). Note the following: This article is about the big picture, not an individual stock. The chart of IONQ is being used to illustrate the point of a major technological breakthrough in the important technology of quantum compu
Good Morning Traders! Today’s economic calendar remains relatively limited, with the primary focus on the September Preliminary S&P Global Manufacturing, Services, and Composite PMIs at 9:45AM ET. These reports should provide the cleanest fresh read on current business activity across both the manufacturing and service
CPU Fever Please click here for an enlarged chart comparing NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ: NVDA ) and Invesco Optimum Yield Diversified Commodity Strategy No K-1 ETF (PDBC) Note the following: The chart shows that king of AI NVDA has returned 20.11% year to date. The chart shows that commodity ETF PDBC has returned 46.39% year t
Buying On Hopium Please click here for an enlarged chart of Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF (NYSE: SOXL ). Note the following: Semiconductors reflect the AI trade, and SOXL is the momo crowd’s favorite. The chart shows SOXL bounced above the top band of zone 3 (support) on Friday due to triple witching buying.
The S&P 500 and Dow Jones have traded sideways for the past few weeks, hovering just below their record highs. Both indexes have shown only muted reactions to recent catalysts, including corporate earnings and last week’s Federal Reserve rate decision. This article covers the key stock market news to watch this week. U
The Federal Reserve raised interest rates Wednesday for the first time since 2023, lifting its benchmark a quarter point to 3.75%-4%. The vote was unanimous, 12-0, and 16 of the 18 policymakers who submitted forecasts penciled in at least one more increase this year. Inflation is running at 3.4%, unchanged from July bu
Reaction To Japan Rate Hike Please click here for an enlarged chart comparing SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE: SPY ) which represents the benchmark stock market index S&P 500 (SPX) and iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ). Note the following: The chart shows Japan ETF EWJ has outperformed S&P 500 by 81%. Excluding the impact of t
U.S. stocks are higher in early trade as triple witching approaches, oil falls and investors focus on rate-cut hopes. The piece also cites stronger AI-related money flows, softer housing data and mixed macro prints.
U.S. stock futures advanced on Thursday, as the Dow Jones, S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 indices rose, following Wednesday’s lower close. In a unanimous vote, all 12 Federal Open Market Committee members approved a 25-basis-point increase in the federal funds rate, bringing the target range to 3.75%—4.00%. Amid the Middle Eas
Dovish Hike Hopium Please click here for an enlarged chart of SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE: SPY ) which represents the benchmark stock market index S&P 500 (SPX). Note the following: The chart shows that the stock market is in zone 1 (support). The chart shows buying in the early trade in stocks this morning. The buyin
Market Positioning Please click here for an enlarged chart of SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE: SPY ) which represents the benchmark stock market index S&P 500 (SPX). Note the following: The chart is a 15 minute chart to illustrate the price action since three AI leaders advocated for an AI slowdown. The chart shows the in
US consumer prices were slightly hotter than expected, with headline CPI rising 0.4% versus 0.4% consensus and core CPI up 0.3% versus 0.2% consensus. Fed fund futures were indicating about an 88% probability of a rate hike next week.
After the producer price index release, fed fund futures were indicating about a 70% probability of a rate hike next week. Headline PPI was 0.4% versus 0.4% consensus, while core PPI was 0.2% versus 0.3% consensus.
U.S. stock futures were higher early Thursday after a pullback in the previous session, driven by Middle East tensions that pushed Brent crude past $101 per barrel and the 10-year Treasury yield to multi-year highs near 4.85%.As of 4:30 a.m. ET, Dow futures rose 0.4%, S&P 500 and Russell 2000 futur…
Peter Thiel ‘s investment firm, Thiel Macro LLC, disclosed a $418.67 million equity portfolio across eight companies in the second quarter, bypassing semiconductor manufacturers to allocate capital toward electrical grid operators, nuclear developers, tech infrastructure, and conventional energy. Rebuilding Capital in