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Fed funds futures now price less than a 20% probability of a rate hike at this month's FOMC meeting. New York Fed President John Williams and Vice Chair Philip Jefferson expressed caution last week about back-to-back rate hikes, and Governor Christopher Waller echoed that view this week. Their views on inflation differ
(Adds comments, background) Euro, yen advance against dollar as oil prices ease US inflation data due Wednesday in focus Euro recovers from lows; France fiscal worries persist By Stefano Rebaudo Oct 13 (Reuters) — The dollar slipped from 18-month highs on Tuesday in line with a retreat in oil prices with investors hopi
Euro, yen make headway against dollar as crude futures cool Yield on 10-year Treasury bond sinks after US holiday US CPI due on Wednesday next point of focus (Updates markets, adds comment on RBA, US CPI; paragraphs 3-6,11,13-16) By Gregor Stuart Hunter SINGAPORE, Oct 13 (Reuters) — The dollar retreated in Asian trade
Canada shed 68,000 jobs in September, reversing the consensus expectation for a small gain. The unemployment rate rose to 6.5% as manufacturing, education and health care lost jobs.
MUFG Bank's Derek Halpenny said Japan potentially introducing tax-free opportunities to hold domestic government bonds could support the yen and affect flows into foreign equity markets. He also noted record foreign equity purchases through Japan's NISA program and said the dollar rose 0.2% to 158.23 yen.
Fitch says U.S. and European high-yield credit continues to benefit from solid investor demand, with lenders and investors competing to finance leveraged issuers. The firm said spreads remain below the 20-year average, supporting risk-adjusted returns.
Morgan Stanley said it remains positioned in intermediate Japanese government bonds, expecting shorter- and longer-tenor bonds to underperform. The bank cited faster Bank of Japan hike pricing and shifting pension-rebalancing expectations.
Market Talk comments pointed to euro resilience versus French fiscal worries, rising French sovereign credit risk and steadying Treasury yields. The roundup also cited Germany’s improved growth outlook and an upcoming Canadian jobs report.
Bitcoin fell 1.2% to $82,422 as a market note said the asset is increasingly competing with other asset classes for long-term portfolio allocation. The note said the decline should be viewed in the context of bitcoin’s broader mainstreaming, while still remaining sensitive to macro conditions and investor sentiment.
MUFG analysts said expectations of further Fed rate hikes have supported the dollar, but dollar gains have been constrained by resilient global growth.
The USD/JPY high today of 158.51 is just at the 200-day moving average level and if breached would certainly signal scope for further gains over the short-term. Some of the upward momentum for the US dollar has eased following the US employment report last week but the data has not had a notable impact on market expect
The yen has been the biggest mover overnight falling by around 0.5% against the US dollar which has lifted USD/JPY up to a high of 158.44. The main trigger for the yen’s sell-off was the release of the Summary of Opinions from the latest BoJ policy meeting from 17th-18,h September policy meeting. The Summary of Opinion
The rupee was 95.97 per dollar at 11:30 a.m. IST, little changed from the previous close at 95.98, with state-run banks selling dollars after the spot opened and RBI intervention supporting the currency despite foreign portfolio outflows.
The AIM- and BSX-listed company said the open offer will raise up to about £15 million through up to 37.5 million shares at 40 pence each. Lord Ashcroft has agreed to underwrite the offer up to the maximum aggregate value.
It has been a quiet start to the week for G10 currencies with the US dollar continuing to trade close to year-to-date highs. After rising back above the 101.00-level last week, the next important resistance level for the dollar index is provided by the high from 24th June at 101.80. One of the biggest movers overnight
Most Asian currencies fell as oil prices and elevated US Treasury yields pressured risk sentiment. The Thai baht touched 33.64, its weakest since late July, and the rupiah fell to 17,985 per dollar.
Most Asian currencies weaken, with Thailand's baht leading losses at as much as 33.635 per dollar. Indonesian rupiah, Philippine peso and South Korean won also weaken as US yields rise.
Reuters preview says the rupee and government bonds are likely to stay under pressure in a holiday-shortened week. Traders are watching elevated oil prices, multi-year-high global yields and expectations for an RBI rate hike next week.
Asian currencies consolidate against the dollar in early trade. Treasury yields continued to set fresh multiyear highs Thursday, on expectations that the Fed will raise interest rates in October. "Oil is adding another layer of pressure to the rates story," says MUFG Bank's Lloyd Chan in a report…
(Updates to market close) By Jaspreet Kalra MUMBAI, Sept 24(Reuters) — The Indian rupee fell to a one-week low on Thursday as a jump in oil prices and little progress in U.S.-Iran talks raised concerns that inflation could prompt further global rate hikes. Dollar sales by state-run banks, likely on behalf of the Reserv
MSCI EM currencies index marks biggest intraday drop since mid-May Indonesian rupiah weakens to as much as 17,900 MSCI EM Asia equities index slips 0.8% Jakarta stocks benchmark down 1%, India's Nifty 25 falls 0.9% By Shruti Agarwal Sept 24 (Reuters) — Emerging Asia currencies fell the most in more than four months on
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BOJ set to raise interest rates to a 31-year high Traders brace for hawkish rhetoric from policymakers to tackle inflation Brent falls 1% on hopes for alternate Middle East supply routes By Ankur Banerjee SINGAPORE, Sept 18 (Reuters) — Asian stocks rose and the dollar held its ground on Friday as investors contended wi
Gold is down after trading higher in early Asia, with its path tied to the pace of U.S. interest rate increases, according to MUFG’s Soojin Kim. The Fed hiked rates Wednesday after higher energy prices and stronger-than-expected underlying inflation added to price pressures.
The Federal Reserve’s first rate hike in more than three years is hardly in doubt. Traders assign a 93% probability to a quarter-point increase Wednesday, lifting the federal funds rate to 3.75%—4.00%. Ask economists what happens next, however, and three different tightening cycles emerge. An MNI compilation of analyst
MUFG’s Derek Halpenny says the dollar’s rise has been relatively muted after Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh’s Friday speech warning rates may need to be raised if inflation doesn’t return to target.
Fed's Williams believes policy is well positioned for 2% inflation target
FED UNCERTAINTY CLOUDS DOLLAR OUTLOOK MUFG warned the dollar outlook has deteriorated after the Fed left rates unchanged and provided little clarity on its policy path. The bank said rising inflation expectations and fading confidence in the Fed could steepen the yield curve, with long-term yields rising faster than sh
The USD is on course to strengthen for a second consecutive week. The bullish breakout was triggered by the Fed's hawkish policy update, which alongside the sharp correction lower in energy prices, has reinforced expectations of monetary policy divergence. While the Fed is now seen as potentially hiking rates just as e
MUFG says the US dollar is on track to strengthen for the second consecutive week despite losing some upward momentum