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The inflation report was more dovish than expected, particularly because of the sizeable downward revisions to July core PCE. The revisions suggest underlying inflation is likely to undershoot the FOMC’s 2026 forecast, prompting a lower expectation for full-year core PCE. Combined with John Williams’ comments that ther
U.S. stocks were little changed by midday Tuesday, with small caps and the Dow lagging while tech held up, as the 10-year Treasury yield pushed to its highest level since 2007 and talks to end the Iran war showed little progress. Mediators are working on a deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, yet Trump has rejected Ira
Headline measures make the US look like a global inflation outlier, especially on PCE, but the underlying composition suggests the opposite. Core goods inflation has normalised in most developed and emerging markets, while US goods inflation remains temporarily elevated by tariffs and AI-related measurement distortions
By WSJ StaffGoldman Sachs research analysts are among those newly convinced that a September Federal Reserve rate hike is now likely. "While today's CPI report only raised our August core PCE forecast slightly to 0.26% and has not changed our fundamental inflation view, we think that the FOMC will…
Goldman Sachs said a September rate increase remains unlikely, citing softer retail sales, weaker employment data and cooling inflation ahead of PCE data and Jackson Hole.
The biggest macro disagreement on Wall Street today isn’t about inflation or economic growth. It’s about the direction of interest rates. A new survey from the Securities Industry and Financial Markets Association (SIFMA), whose Economist Council includes chief economists from Bank of America, Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan,
Microsoft Corp. is down about 18% on the month, its worst June since 2000, as investors dump the stock over AI capex fears
Gold's price is being challenged by a renewed appetite for bonds and a potential shift in central-bank demand and geopolitical hedging