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Rassemblement National’s recent fiscal proposals provide greater clarity on how the party intends to address France’s public-finance challenges. Its counter-budget envisages substantial consolidation next year, improving the primary balance from a deficit of 2.6% to 0.6% of GDP. However, implementing an adjustment of t
Global oil stockpiles have become "scarily thin," Saudi Aramco Chief Executive Officer Amin Nasser said Monday at the Energy Intelligence Forum in London. When the U.S.-Iran war began, the world held about 10 billion barrels of oil stocks, he said. That has fallen to less than 6 billion, and only about 10% of it is pra
The euro hit a 17-month low below $1.12 as fears of contagion from rising French borrowing costs spread across the euro area. The gap between French and German government bond yields widened to its highest since the euro debt crisis.
The euro hit 17-month lows below $1.12, down over 4% this year, as fears grow of contagion from rising French borrowing costs spilling into the broader euro area. The French/German yield gap is near its widest since the euro debt crisis, with Italian bond yields also wider.
France’s sharply higher borrowing costs and weaker equity market have tightened financial conditions significantly, creating a meaningful headwind for the economy. While the impact of tighter financial conditions is likely to be less severe than elsewhere in Europe because French households and companies have relativel
The trajectory of France’s public debt is looking increasingly challenging, given the lack of progress in reducing the deficit and the recent increase in borrowing costs. We now estimate that France will eventually need to run a 1% primary surplus to stabilise its public debt-to-GDP ratio, a feat rarely achieved in rec