Fed officials want to hold off a rate hike this month. Will this week’s inflation data let them?
A troubling rise in prices might trigger an interest-rate move at the Fed’s meeting in late October.
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A troubling rise in prices might trigger an interest-rate move at the Fed’s meeting in late October.
U.S. bond-market pressure tied to mortgage hedging and Treasury futures is showing signs of slowing, according to market participants and analysts. The 10-year Treasury yield fell to 5.232% after a strong auction and later reversed some losses.
Investors and analysts say several technical pressures that helped deepen the recent Treasury selloff may be easing. The 10-year Treasury yield fell after a strong 10-year note auction, while Brent crude rose 4.1% and stocks slipped.
Money market fund inflows have slowed significantly this year, pushing up yields on Treasury bills. US 3-month bill yields rose nearly 10 basis points above 3-month OIS on Monday, the widest spread since September 2024.
HIGHLIGHTS * Gov Barr (permanent FOMC voter)'s speech Tuesday is primarily on the longer-term outlook for the housing sector, but importantly he notes that his "base case" is for "further policy adjustments" (plural) * Iranian security chief Rezaii via Irib: "Iran has not been in a hurry to negotiate; today, Iran's con
* Oil has continued to trend lower during Wednesday's APAC session as talks continue on the sidelines of this week's UN gathering. The fact negotiations are even taking place to facilitate Middle East energy shipments is driving optimism in markets but the situation remains very precarious. UST futures are higher, but
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY * TRUMP HAILS 'VERY GOOD' IRAN TALKS FOLLOWING ANNIHILATION THREAT - BBG: #cdbad0a1-5c8d-4cdb-9819-370162b99299 * ZELENSKY ASKS TRUMP FOR WINTER ARMS PACKAGE, EXPECTS ENERGY-CEASEFIRE PUSH - WSJ: #a4c79a68-e487-466b-a806-4885fa3200e0 * LASTING SHOCKS, FIRMING DEMAND REQUIRE FED ACTION - BARKIN - MNI
The Federal Reserve lifted its benchmark interest rate to a 3.75% to 4% range in a unanimous vote on Wednesday, marking the first hike since July 2023. The move implies higher borrowing costs while boosting yields on cash and short-term fixed-income holdings.