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ECB baseline economic growth forecast set at 0.9% for 2026

ECB baseline forecast for economic growth is 0.9% for 2026, 1.4% for 2027, and 1.5% for 2028.

ECB governing council reiterates no pre-commitment to a rate path

ECB not pre-committing to a particular rate path.

ECB not pre-committing to a particular rate path.

ECB: Outlook for energy prices, while highly volatile, currently stands close to baseline of june Eurosystem staff projections and well abov

ECB: Outlook for energy prices, while highly volatile, currently stands close to baseline of june Eurosystem staff projections and well above levels recorded prior to conflict in Middle East.

ECB not pre-committing to a particular rate path

ECB not pre-committing to a particular rate path

ECB notes leaves interest rate on deposit facility unchanged at 2.25% (reuters poll 2.25%) Ecb notes leaves Benchmark refinancing rate uncha

ECB notes leaves interest rate on deposit facility unchanged at 2.25% (reuters poll 2.25%) Ecb notes leaves Benchmark refinancing rate unchanged at 2.40% (reuters poll 2.40%) Ecb notes leaves interest rate on marginal Lending facility unchanged at 2.65% Ecb notes ECB today decided to keep three interest rates unchanged

Preview: Euro Zone Jun Advance CPI Estimate data expected at 05:00 ET (09:00 GMT)

**Consensus expectations: - Advance CPI Estimate Y/Y: 3.0%e v 3.2% prior - CPI Core Y/Y: 2.5%e v 2.6% prior - Preliminary CPI M/M: 0.1%e v 0.1% prior; Y/Y: 3.0%e v 3.2% prior **Note: ECB has an symmetrical inflation target of 2% - Reading has seen the annual pace stay above target for the past three months Recent comme

Preview: Germany Jun Preliminary CPI data expected at 08:00 ET (12:00 GMT)

**Consensus expectations: - CPI M/M: 0.0%e v -0.2% prior; Y/Y: 2.6%e v 2.6% prior - CPI EU Harmonized M/M: 0.0%e v -0.1% prior; Y/Y: 2.5%e v 2.7% prior **Note: ECB has an symmetrical inflation target of 2% - Annual pace has registered three straight months with CPI above the ECB target Various States released earlier i

Various German States Jun CPI Readings

CPI Hesse M/M: % v -0.2% prior; Y/Y: % v 2.6% prior - CPI Bavaria M/M: % v -0.2% prior; Y/Y: 2.5% v 2.6% prior - CPI Brandenburg M/M: % v -0.1% prior; Y/Y: % v 2.8% prior - CPI Saxony M/M: % v -0.1% prior; Y/Y: % v 2.8% prior - CPI Baden Wuerttemberg M/M: % v -0.3% prior; Y/Y: % v 2.4% prior

Preview: Germany Jun Various State CPI readings due out at 04:00 ET (08:00 GMT)

**Consensus expectations: - CPI North Rhine Westphalia M/M: No est v -0.2% prior; Y/Y: No est v 2.4% prior - CPI Hesse M/M: No est v -0.2% prior; Y/Y: No est v 2.6% prior - CPI Bavaria M/M: No est v -0.2% prior; Y/Y: No est v 2.6% prior - CPI Brandenburg M/M: No est v -0.1% prior; Y/Y: No est v 2.8% prior - CPI Saxony

*(IT) ITALY JUN PRELIMINARY CPI M/M: 0.0% V 0.2%E; Y/Y: 3.0% V 3.2%E

CPI EU Harmonized M/M: 0.1% v 0.2%e; Y/Y: 3.1% v 3.2%e - - **Insight: ECB has an symmetrical inflation target of 2%

*(FR) FRANCE JUN PRELIMINARY CPI M/M: % V 0.0%E; Y/Y: 1.8% V 2.0%E

CPI EU Harmonized M/M: % v 0.0%e; Y/Y: % v 2.3%e **Insight: ECB has an symmetrical inflation target of 2% - Annual Headline inflation back at target for the 1st time in 3 months - Annual Headline inflation stays above target for 3rd straight month

Preview: France Jun Preliminary CPI data expected at 02:45 ET (06:45 GMT)

**Consensus expectations: - CPI M/M: 0.0%e v 0.1% prior; Y/Y: 2.0%e v 2.4% prior - CPI EU Harmonized M/M: 0.0%e v 0.1% prior; Y/Y: 2.3%e v 2.8% prior also due out: - 02:45 (FR) France May PPI M/M: No est v -2.1% prior; Y/Y: No est v 2.1% prior **Insight: ECB has an symmetrical inflation target of 2% - Annual Headline i

Preview: Spain May Retail Sales data expected at 03:00 ET (07:00 GMT)

Spain's May retail sales data due at 03:00 ET