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Highlights: * Xi Jinping heads to Washington, meetings with Trump in focus * Flash PMI data in focus, as well as more Fedspeak * USD strength pervades, putting key levels in both GBPUSD and USDMXN into view US TSYS: Paring Gains, Flash PMIs Ahead, Trump Welcomes Xi Tonight: s-xi-tonight-1790161492747 Treasuries are mil
* Oil has continued to trend lower during Wednesday's APAC session as talks continue on the sidelines of this week's UN gathering. The fact negotiations are even taking place to facilitate Middle East energy shipments is driving optimism in markets but the situation remains very precarious. UST futures are higher, but
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY * TRUMP HAILS 'VERY GOOD' IRAN TALKS FOLLOWING ANNIHILATION THREAT - BBG: #cdbad0a1-5c8d-4cdb-9819-370162b99299 * ZELENSKY ASKS TRUMP FOR WINTER ARMS PACKAGE, EXPECTS ENERGY-CEASEFIRE PUSH - WSJ: #a4c79a68-e487-466b-a806-4885fa3200e0 * LASTING SHOCKS, FIRMING DEMAND REQUIRE FED ACTION - BARKIN - MNI
Leading cryptocurrencies slid after August producer prices rose 5.4% year over year, above economists’ expectations. Bitcoin dipped below $77,000 and crypto-linked stocks also weakened.
After the producer price index release, fed fund futures were indicating about a 70% probability of a rate hike next week. Headline PPI was 0.4% versus 0.4% consensus, while core PPI was 0.2% versus 0.3% consensus.
The dollar index rose to 99 on Thursday. Oil prices rallied amid escalating US-Iran hostilities, pushing investors to price a 70% chance of a 25bps Fed rate increase next week (up from 60%).
US PPI MoM came in at 0.4%, matching the 0.4% forecast and up from a 0.0% previous reading.
US core PPI on a month-on-month basis came in at 0.2%, versus a 0.3% forecast and 0.2% from the prior reading.
US PPI MoM
US Core PPI MoM
Dow and S&P 500 futures edged higher while Nasdaq 100 futures slipped ahead of the August PPI report. The 10-year Treasury yield was 4.85% and the two-year yield was 4.43%; FedWatch put a 60.2% chance on a September rate hike.
Oil Surge Please click here for an enlarged chart of United States Oil ETF (NYSE: USO ). Note the following: The chart shows USO is approaching zone 1 (resistance). The chart shows oil was previously in zone 1 when there was peak Iran fear. RSI on the chart shows oil is very overbought. Prudent investors should make a
Perma-Pipe International reported second-quarter net sales of $59.6 million, up 24% year over year, and net income of $2.5 million versus $0.9 million a year earlier.
U.S. stock futures fell Tuesday, with the Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 lower as Brent crude climbed above $99 a barrel and investors awaited Friday’s August CPI report and Apple’s product event Wednesday.
US PPI MoM
US Core PPI MoM
U.S. markets face the 8:30AM ET release of July PPI measures and weekly jobless claims, with Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack and Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin also scheduled to speak.
US PPI MoM came in at 0% versus a 0.2% forecast, compared with -0.3% in the prior reading.
US Core PPI MoM
Pro reports a US PPI month-over-month release, but provides no figures, units, comparison bases, or prior-versus-consensus details in the raw feed.
US CPI comes in at 0.1% vs 0.1% consensus, with core CPI at 0.2% vs 0.2% consensus
US Core PPI MoM Actual 0.2% (Forecast 0.3%, Previous 0.4%)
US Core PPI MoM
US PPI MoM
US PPI MoM
US Core PPI MoM
Sweden's producer price index rises 1.3% month-over-month