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Gold has spent 2026 living through a war in the Gulf, an oil shock and inflation stuck above 3%. That should have been ideal for a hedge against inflation and disorder. Instead, the metal trades roughly 25% below its January peak. The reason is a number the bond market last printed in 2007. The 10-year Treasury yield r
The bond market is flashing a signal that usually means trouble. Ed Yardeni says this time it mostly means strength. The 10-year Treasury yield closed at 5.11% on Wednesday, its highest level since 2007, and Yardeni Research indicated the main driver is a U.S. economy growing faster than expected. "Today, however, the
The benchmark US 10-year Treasury yield fell on Monday as oil prices dropped and European bond yields also declined, while the two-year Treasury yield hit its highest since July 2024.
High Yield Rate: 2.653% (prev 2.438%) - Bid-Cover Ratio: 2.24 (prev 2.30) - Direct Accepted: 28.7% (prev 25.0%) - Indirect Accepted: 59.1% (prev 65.2%) - WI: 2.634%
The Federal Reserve has resumed raising interest rates, lifting its benchmark rate by 25 basis points to 3.75%-4% on Wednesday, its first hike since July 2023. More importantly for markets, Fed officials now see another increase this year and expect rates to remain elevated through 2027. The shift comes as inflation re
Preston Caldwell said investors worried about an inflationary resolution to the U.S. debt problem may be better served by Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities than gold. He said gold’s multi-year rally was driven by price momentum and that 30-year breakeven inflation rates have stayed near 2.3% for five years.
U.S. stock futures were mixed Wednesday, with Dow and S&P 500 futures lower, Nasdaq 100 slightly higher, while Brent crude surged toward $100 after Middle East military exchanges.
The US 30-year TIPS auction clears at a 2.973% high yield, above the previous 2.473%, with no forecast supplied.
US 30-Year TIPS High Yield
US 30-Year TIPS High Yield
US 30-Year TIPS High Yield
Investors flocking to long-duration U.S. Treasury ETFs for safety have instead been met with a “perfect storm for generational losses.” This historic crash stems from a fatal market misunderstanding: equating the zero default risk of the U.S. government with zero price risk, leaving supposedly safe bond funds exposed t
High Yield Rate: 2.438% (prev 2.169%) - Bid-Cover Ratio: 2.30 (prev 2.52) - Direct Accepted: 25.0% (prev 27.5%) - Indirect Accepted: 65.2% (prev 61.4%) - WI: 2.41%
Economist Mohamed El-Erian has warned that surging global yields are being actively driven higher by energy costs and “massive bond issuance ahead,” coming just ahead of next week’s Federal Reserve meeting, where market participants expect benchmark interest rates to remain unchanged for now. Nominal Yields Spike Acros