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Financial markets trimmed bets on a Federal Reserve interest-rate hike next month after New York Fed chief John Williams said he sees "no urgency" for further action after US central bank's policy rate increase earlier this month.Traders now see about a 50-50 chance of quarter-point rate hike at th…
Traders Now See About A 50/50 Chance Of October Fed Rate Hike Vs About 70% Previously
Traders now see about a 50-50 chance of a Fed rate hike in October, down from about 70% previously.
The S&P 500 is hovering near a record, but Michael Burry is struggling to dismiss a warning from fellow market bear Peter Schiff that the strength may be masking weakness underneath. Schiff recently pointed out on Substack that while the S&P 500 was just 0.7% below its record, 430 of its stocks were, on average, 21.7%
Look at the stock market this week and everything seems quiet. The S&P 500 is close to its highs, and Wall Street's favorite fear gauge, the VIX, is sitting near 16, a level that usually means investors are relaxed. The bond market is telling a very different story. A widely-followed bond volatility indicator is flashi
U.S. stocks slid at midday Wednesday as the 10-year Treasury yield surged to its highest level since 2007, after blowout September PMI data cemented bets for another Federal Reserve rate hike and sent traders scrambling out of richly valued growth names. The yield on the 10-year Treasury note jumped 12 basis points to
Traders price almost 1 percentage point of ECB rate rises over next year Euro zone annual inflation accelerates to 3.3% in August from 2.9% in July Brent crude options show heaviest bets on $100 oil by end-December (Updates paragraph 18 of September 17 story with Bank of Japan rate rise) By Stefano Rebaudo, Harry Rober
(Repeats item that ran earlier, with no change to text. The opinions expressed here are those of the author, a columnist for Reuters.) By Jamie McGeever ORLANDO, Florida, Sept 17 (Reuters) — As The Rolling Stones famously said, you can't always get what you want. Apparently, not even if you're the most powerful person
Bitcoin jumped back to $79,000 and Ethereum reached $2,600 after August core CPI came in at 0.3% month over month, versus a 0.2% estimate. Traders also repriced September Fed hike odds higher.
Prediction-market and futures pricing moved sharply toward a September Federal Reserve rate hike after core inflation came in hotter than expected. Polymarket put the chance of a 25-basis-point hike around 80%, while CME FedWatch showed 91.6% Friday morning.
Truflation CEO Stefan Rust told on Monday that Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh ’s hawkishness is a "distraction from his dovishness," predicting no rate hike at next week’s meeting. Asked what could force Warsh to raise rates, Rust pointed to oil, which was trading around $97. "Oil prices are definitely going to driv
Silver fell to around $65.50 an ounce as stronger-than-expected August US nonfarm payrolls lifted bond yields. FedWatch pricing shows nearly a 60% rate-hike chance next week, up from about 50%.
Gold fell to around $4,390 an ounce on Monday after stronger-than-expected US jobs data pushed bond yields higher. Nonfarm payrolls rose 162,000 in August; unemployment held at 4.1%.
Jim Cramer said it is time to buy the Magnificent Seven again, arguing lower valuations and rising AI revenue support the group. He singled out Nvidia as a clear winner and called its Hugging Face deal brilliant.
U.S. equities slipped as August payrolls of 162,000, far above the 55,000 consensus, pushed traders toward a higher Fed-rate path. Chips outperformed while software, retail, gold and bitcoin weakened.
The S&P 500, tracked by SPY, is up about 11% this year and trades at 19.6 times forward earnings, down from 20.4 at June 30, while 10-year Treasury yields touched 4.80% and 30-year yields 5.28%.
Apollo’s U.S. housing outlook says the probability of changing residence over the next 12 months has fallen to a record-low 13.5% as high mortgage rates keep homeowners locked in.
Rates futures pricing is putting the odds of a Fed hike in September at about 50/50.
U.S. stocks traded in split fashion by midday Wednesday, with a resilient Dow and S&P 500 masking softer breadth as rising oil prices and fresh tariffs kept a lid on risk appetite ahead of the first “Magnificent Seven” earnings of the season. Oil prices climbed as the U.S. carried out its 11th consecutive night of stri
The S&P 500 rallied on Tuesday as strong corporate earnings and a rebound in semiconductor stocks lifted equities. However, Polymarket traders are betting the benchmark index will open lower on Wednesday as rising oil prices and renewed inflation concerns cloud the outlook. The S&P 500 gained 0.89% to close at 7,509.20