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Bond Danger Signal Please click here for an enlarged chart of iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ: TLT ). Note the following: The chart shows TLT has fallen below the Arora danger zone. RSI on the chart shows TLT is oversold. Prudent investors should note TLT falling below the Arora danger zone is very important
Micron Earnings Ahead Please click here for an enlarged chart of Micron Technology Inc (NASDAQ: MU ). Note the following: This article is about the big picture, not an individual stock. The chart of MU stock is being used to illustrate the point. The chart shows that leading up to last quarter’s release, MU stock ran i
" Throw your soldiers into positions whence there is no escape, and they will prefer death to flight. If they will face death, there is nothing they may not achieve." Sun Tzu, The Art of War Textbook macroeconomics says surging benchmark yields should crush high-multiple growth stocks and chill aggressive corporate inv
The S&P 500 is hovering near a record, but Michael Burry is struggling to dismiss a warning from fellow market bear Peter Schiff that the strength may be masking weakness underneath. Schiff recently pointed out on Substack that while the S&P 500 was just 0.7% below its record, 430 of its stocks were, on average, 21.7%
Major stock indexes fell, with the MSCI world gauge down 0.83%, as oil prices resumed their rise and Treasury yields extended gains. Spot gold dropped 3.5% to a more than seven-week low.
Monday’s sell-off is testing whether investors are simply de-risking or beginning to rotate within the S&P 500 as higher Treasury yields and surging oil prices reshape the macro backdrop. The Nasdaq 100 fell 1.6% intraday Monday as U.S. Treasury yields hit fresh multi-year highs and oil approached $100, highlighted the
Iran Hopium Dashed Please click here for an enlarged chart of the United States Oil ETF (NYSE: USO ). Note the following: The chart shows that this morning in the early trade oil ETF USO is rising. The chart shows that oil is now at the top band of zone 1 (resistance). The chart shows that oil is now at the same level
The S&P 500 dodged what is usually considered the weakest part of the four-year presidential cycle. According to Jeff Hirsch, editor of the Stock Trader’s Almanac, “market weakness has been modest and seasonally normal, and stocks are now entering the historically favorable Sweet Spot of the Four-Year Cycle, extending
Global stocks were little changed, while Japanese government bond yields climbed to historic levels and US Treasury yields edged lower. Gold rose and Brent crude eased, with traders still pricing in further Federal Reserve rate hikes.
U.S. stocks look set for a positive opening on Friday, with futures of the Dow Jones, S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite rising, after closing Thursday on a mixed note. Contributing to the optimism are comments from Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, who proposed to reopen the Strait of Hormuz and resume talks on a nuc
President Donald Trump faces new low ratings in a national poll of voters, with many saying he is doing a worse-than-expected job in his presidency. The latest poll comes as the midterm elections near and could see the Democratic Party gain seats in Congress. • State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust stock is trading near
Quantum Computing Breakthrough Please click here for an enlarged chart of IONQ Inc (NYSE: IONQ ). Note the following: This article is about the big picture, not an individual stock. The chart of IONQ is being used to illustrate the point of a major technological breakthrough in the important technology of quantum compu
The S&P 500 index advanced to within 1% of its record high on Monday while its constituents simultaneously registered more 52-week lows than highs, triggering a market signal observed only twice in the past century. Historical Market Breadth Signal On Monday, the S&P 500 rose 1.49% to close at 7,764.70. This places the
Global stocks rose, led by AI-linked tech shares, while oil fell on reports more supply was leaving the Gulf than previously thought. The note also listed closing levels for major equity, bond, currency and commodity markets.
Market Overview The Fed raised rates by 25 basis points and stocks shrugged it off. The Nasdaq outperformed for the third week in a row and finished up 0.72%. The S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average finished 0.08% and 1.69% lower. Money looks to be rotating back into risk assets again, especially crypto. Remember
U.S. stock futures advanced on Thursday, as the Dow Jones, S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 indices rose, following Wednesday’s lower close. In a unanimous vote, all 12 Federal Open Market Committee members approved a 25-basis-point increase in the federal funds rate, bringing the target range to 3.75%—4.00%. Amid the Middle Eas
Market Positioning Please click here for an enlarged chart of SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE: SPY ) which represents the benchmark stock market index S&P 500 (SPX). Note the following: The chart is a 15 minute chart to illustrate the price action since three AI leaders advocated for an AI slowdown. The chart shows the in
The S&P 500 has risen 13% six months after military action in Iran began in February, with SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust near record highs. A market expert said history suggests stocks often rise over time during conflicts.
Brent crude rose above $100 a barrel Wednesday for the first time since July after attacks on tankers and energy infrastructure intensified across the Middle East. West Texas Intermediate also advanced toward $95.
The VIX closed in the low 14s to 17s through August, and strategists said the long calm, tight credit spreads and weak correlation can mask rising systemic risk.
In an NBC News Decision Desk poll, President Donald Trump’s approval rating fell to 36%, a new low for the survey, with disapproval at 64%. The poll also showed weaker ratings on his handling of the Iran war.
Freedom Capital Markets’ Jay Woods said this week’s PPI and CPI reports could shape the market’s direction into the Fed meeting and beyond, with SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust still shy of its record close.
Mohamed El-Erian said global government-bond yields may keep rising as traditional buyers, including China, Japan and Gulf investors, pull back from U.S. Treasuries.
Asia’s Singapore oil product inventories lingered near three-week highs, government data showed. Declines in light and middle distillate stocks were offset by an increase in residual fuels stocks.
In mixed trade, Japan’s Nikkei 225 fell 0.2% to around 64,200 while the Topix gained 0.7% to 4,110. A stronger yen weighed on export-heavy stocks, while oil’s pullback offered support.
Musk says robots could be five times more productive than a human and could start manufacturing other robots, creating a recursive manufacturing effect.
Euro STOXX 50 fell 0.1% to 6,363 and STOXX Europe 600 fell 0.2% to 646. Borrowing-cost pressures and renewed Middle East fighting lifted oil and gas, weighing utilities and consumer stocks.
QQQ SPY off highs
E-mini S&P 500 futures began the week with a modest pullback to 7,700 as higher Treasury yields and rising crude oil prices offset hawkish Fed sentiment and energy costs.
Technical analyst Francis Hunt says the post-2020 bond rout marks the end of a 40-year debt bull market and argues investors should favor hard assets as fiat purchasing power weakens.