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Dovish Hike Hopium Please click here for an enlarged chart of SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE: SPY ) which represents the benchmark stock market index S&P 500 (SPX). Note the following: The chart shows that the stock market is in zone 1 (support). The chart shows buying in the early trade in stocks this morning. The buyin
The August Consumer Price Index report shows a 0.4% monthly increase, prompting Ryan Detrick, chief market strategist at the Carson Group, to warn that the U.S. economy faces “stickier inflation.” He argues that broad cost increases across services demonstrate that recent price spikes are not “a one-time event.” The ‘S
Market Positioning Please click here for an enlarged chart of SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE: SPY ) which represents the benchmark stock market index S&P 500 (SPX). Note the following: The chart is a 15 minute chart to illustrate the price action since three AI leaders advocated for an AI slowdown. The chart shows the in
Wall Street has spent weeks debating whether the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates Wednesday. The futures market has almost stopped debating. Traders assign a 93% probability to a quarter-point hike, which would lift the federal funds rate to 3.75%—4.00%. It would be the Fed’s first increase since July 2023. On
The S&P 500 closed higher on Friday, surging 0.86% to close at 7,656.98, but U.S. stock futures were pointing lower early Monday as investors grappled with surging oil prices, elevated Treasury yields and a looming Federal Reserve interest-rate decision. The Polygon -based (CRYPTO: POL) Polymarket crowd is bullish head
S&P 500, Dow and Nasdaq 100 futures were around 0.7% higher, while long-dated Treasury yields eased from multi-year highs as oil prices paused their surge.
Oracle climbed in premarket trading after reporting better-than-expected first-quarter financial results and raising its FY27 adjusted EPS guidance.
U.S. stock futures were modestly higher early Friday as investors awaited August consumer price inflation data. The body also cited elevated Brent and WTI crude prices, the ECB’s 25-basis-point rate hike and several earnings reports later in the day.
After the producer price index release, fed fund futures were indicating about a 70% probability of a rate hike next week. Headline PPI was 0.4% versus 0.4% consensus, while core PPI was 0.2% versus 0.3% consensus.
Preston Caldwell said investors worried about an inflationary resolution to the U.S. debt problem may be better served by Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities than gold. He said gold’s multi-year rally was driven by price momentum and that 30-year breakeven inflation rates have stayed near 2.3% for five years.
The VIX closed in the low 14s to 17s through August, and strategists said the long calm, tight credit spreads and weak correlation can mask rising systemic risk.
TD Securities expects August core CPI to rise 0.19% month over month, with core goods ex-vehicles falling 0.15% and tariff-related prices showing no meaningful passthrough.
US stock indices closed lower Tuesday as higher energy prices weighed on corporate margin outlook and raised higher-rates risk. S&P 500 fell 0.6%, Nasdaq lost 0.1%, and Dow shed 628 points.
US equity futures were lower Tuesday after a long weekend. S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures were down 0.5%, while Dow futures fell nearly 1%, as higher energy prices pressured margin outlook and rate-risk sentiment.
U.S. stock futures were slightly higher early Friday as investors awaited the August employment report, unemployment rate and average hourly earnings data at 8:30 a.m. ET.
US stock indices closed higher Thursday as Treasury yields eased after a recent surge. The S&P 500 rose 1.1%, the Dow gained 624 points and the Nasdaq advanced 1.2%, with credit-sensitive software firms leading.
Friday's August employment report may decide whether the Fed pauses or raises rates on Sept. 16, with CME FedWatch pricing a 50-50 split. Economists expect 56,000 jobs added, unemployment at 4.1% and hourly earnings up 0.3% month on month.
Peter Schiff said surging Treasury yields reflect inflation expectations, fiscal concerns, fading Fed credibility and de-dollarization, pushing back on John Williams’ stronger-economy explanation.
U.S. stock futures advanced Thursday after Wednesday’s higher close, with President Donald Trump saying the market will go up despite Iran war and oil volatility.
US stocks recovered on Wednesday, trimming weekly losses. The S&P 500 and Dow rose 0.5% each while the Nasdaq 100 stayed slightly below flatline, as tech and banks led gains.
Global bond yields are rising, with Japan’s 10-year government bond yield at 3%, the highest since 1996. The note says the move is pressuring stocks early, especially AI-linked names.
US indices closed mostly lower Monday; the S&P 500 fell 0.3% and the Dow shed 374 points. Higher oil prices weighed via inflation risk as Treasury yields rose. Hyperscalers fell; Nvidia rose 1.4%.
US indexes ended lower Monday: Dow -0.7%, S&P 500 -0.33%, Nasdaq -0.12%. Mega-cap tech mixed: Tesla +5.5%, Nvidia +1%, Alibaba -4%.
Federal Reserve data show U.S. commercial and industrial loans at $2.933 trillion in the week ended Aug. 19, up 10% year over year and the fastest annual pace since March 2023.
Oil is rising after the U.S. struck two rocket launchers on Larak Island, with traders also reacting to hawkish comments from Warsh and broad early selling in stocks.
U.S. equities closed higher Thursday: Dow +104.67 pts to 53,568.55, S&P 500 +55.10 pts to 7,730.80, Nasdaq Composite +411.16 pts to 26,541.35.
Treasury figures show U.S. total public debt outstanding crossed $40 trillion, reaching over $40.09 trillion by Aug. 25, 2026, according to the report.
Japan’s Nikkei 225 fell 0.2% to close at 66,132, while Topix rose 0.15% to 4,117. Mixed tech performance followed Nvidia’s strong sales outlook; Advantest fell 3.1% and Kioxia Holdings gained 5%.
U.S. stock futures are higher early Thursday, with Dow futures up 0.25%, S&P 500 futures up 0.35% and Nasdaq 100 futures up 0.66% as traders weigh Nvidia earnings and stronger durable goods data.