Search market news

RBA Cash Rate

RBA Cash Rate

Australian shares fall as mixed jobs data keeps September rate hike in play

(Updates to close) ASX 200 ends 0.7% lower Miners fall 1.5%, banks drop 0.8% NZ50 closes flat By Keshav SinghChundawat Sept 24 (Reuters) — Australian shares ended lower on Thursday, with broad-based losses outweighing gains in energy stocks, after a mixed jobs report did little to alter market expectations that the cen

Australia, NZ dollars tumble to multi — week lows, bonds battered

By Wayne Cole SYDNEY, Sept 24 (Reuters) — The Australian and New Zealand dollars languished near multi-week lows on Thursday after red-hot US economic data boosted the greenback across the board, while a renewed rout in global bond markets drove yields to 15-year peaks. Domestic data showing a surprise rise in unemploy

UPDATE 1 — Australia's unemployment rate hits five — year high in August as more seek work

(Updates with market reaction in paragraph 2 and 3, quotes from ABS in paragraph 6 and 7.) SYDNEY, Sept 24 (Reuters) — Australian employment rose more than forecast in August but the unemployment rate still hit a five-year high as more people went looking for work, data showed on Thursday. The mixed report was not enou

AUSSIE BONDS: AUD Flattening has room to run

* There is scope for further flattening of the AUD yield curve as the market navigates tomorrow's labour market data and next week's RBA policy meeting. * As the RBA has been highly proactive this year, the bulk of the necessary tightening is likely already in the rearview mirror. With next week's hike roughly 90% pric

MNI EUROPEAN MARKETS ANALYSIS: USD Supported Despite Lower Oil

* Oil has continued to trend lower during Wednesday's APAC session as talks continue on the sidelines of this week's UN gathering. The fact negotiations are even taking place to facilitate Middle East energy shipments is driving optimism in markets but the situation remains very precarious. UST futures are higher, but

MNI EUROPEAN OPEN: Oil Pullback Continues

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY * TRUMP HAILS 'VERY GOOD' IRAN TALKS FOLLOWING ANNIHILATION THREAT - BBG: #cdbad0a1-5c8d-4cdb-9819-370162b99299 * ZELENSKY ASKS TRUMP FOR WINTER ARMS PACKAGE, EXPECTS ENERGY-CEASEFIRE PUSH - WSJ: #a4c79a68-e487-466b-a806-4885fa3200e0 * LASTING SHOCKS, FIRMING DEMAND REQUIRE FED ACTION - BARKIN - MNI

Australia central bank sees risks of inflation picking up

Australia's central banker said upside risks to inflation may be materialising given sustained high energy prices and excess domestic demand, potentially supporting market wagers for a rate hike next week. Reserve Bank of Australia Governor Michele Bullock said unemployment around 4.5% to 5.0% could help restrain infla

Yen Under Pressure as Global Central Banks Turn Hawkish

The yen weakened against a firm dollar as traders bet that Japanese policymakers will lag behind a hawkish shift by other central banks, widening the interest rate gap. Bitcoin surged to an eight-month high.

RBA economist says rates may need to rise again

An RBA economist said interest rates may need to rise for a fourth time this year to rein in inflation, pointing to market expectations for a hike as early as next week.

ANZ expects RBA cash-rate hikes in September and November

ANZ says the Reserve Bank of Australia is likely to raise the cash rate in September and again in November, taking it to 4.85%—its highest level since 2008.

Australian shares end flat; hawkish RBA stance curbs appetite

(Updates to close) Gold stocks hit best session in nearly a month Miners log third consecutive week of losses RBA Governor said upside risks to inflation were materialising By Aamir Khalid Sept 18 (Reuters) — Australian shares let go of their earlier gains and ended flat on Friday, as bank losses offset strength in min

RBC: Now Sees RBA Hiking In Sep And Nov, Taking Cash Rate To 4.85%

RBC: Now Sees RBA Hiking In Sep And Nov, Taking Cash Rate To 4.85%

UBS expects RBA to hike twice by year-end

UBS now expects the RBA to raise the official cash rate twice before year-end, reaching 4.85% by November, citing hawkish Fed signals and elevated oil prices.

Aura Group flags higher — for — longer RBA risk as oil shock lifts inflation pressure

Aura Group analysis flagged rising risk of higher-for-longer Australian rates following hawkish RBA commentary in September 2026. Assistant Governor Sarah Hunter cited resilient household spending, firm business investment, constrained supply capacity as inflation risks. Underlying inflation remained above the RBA’s 2%

Australian fixed mortgage rates rise ahead of RBA meeting, market talk

Australian fixed mortgage rates are rising ahead of the end-of-month RBA policy meeting. Markets expect the Reserve Bank of Australia to raise the official cash rate.

Australian Dollar Holds at 1-Month Low

The Australian dollar held below $0.71, sitting at a four-week low after the Federal Reserve’s first interest-rate increase since 2023 boosted the US dollar, overshadowing expectations for further RBA tightening. The Fed unanimously raised its federal funds rate by 25 basis points to 3.75%-4.00% as expected, citing ele

Risks Tilted Toward Higher Neutral Official Cash Rate for RBA — Market Talk

The Commonwealth Bank of Australia raises its estimate of Australia's current nominal neutral official cash rate to 3.85%, from around 3.7% projected in July. The range across the bank's models is now 3.2% to 4.3%, says Trent Saunders, an economist at CBA. Over the medium to long term, CBA sees ris…

Citi expects two more RBA hikes in 2026 to 4.85%

Australian dollar steadies around $0.72 as rally halts

The Australian dollar steadied around $0.72, halting its rally near its highest level since mid-May. Escalating Middle East tensions weighed on global risk sentiment, while hawkish RBA signals supported expectations of a near-term rate hike.

Aussie dollar lifts above $0.72 on more hawkish RBA signals

The Australian dollar edged above $0.72 toward a four-month high as hawkish RBA signals strengthened expectations for another rate hike. Markets priced a 74% probability of a 25-basis-point hike at the September 29 meeting.

Westpac now sees RBA lifting cash rate to 4.6% in November

Westpac is now forecasting the RBA will raise the cash rate to 4.6% in November, according to Bloomberg.

HSBC sees RBA hiking in September, to Q4 4.85% cash rate

HSBC expects the RBA to hike in September and keep its Q4 cash-rate view at 4.85%.

Reserve Bank of New Zealand rate decision set for Wednesday

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand will finish its monetary policy meeting on Wednesday and announce its interest-rate decision.

ASX 200 climbs after two-day losing streak, rises 0.6% Friday

The ASX 200 rose 54 points, or 0.6%, to close at 9,092 on Friday, halting a two-day losing streak. Strength in commercial services, tech, healthcare and energy minerals supported sentiment.

Australian dollar holds near $0.72 as rally hits ninth week since 2010

The Aussie dollar stays around $0.72 near a fifteen-week high, on track for a ninth straight weekly gain since 2010. The move tracks hotter July inflation and household spending, lifting bets on an RBA rate hike.

Australian dollar rallies toward $0.72 on rising RBA hike odds

The Australian dollar rose toward $0.72 to a fresh three-month high as markets increased expectations for an RBA rate hike following hotter-than-expected July inflation.

ANZ bank now sees RBA raising the cash rate by 25bps in November

ANZ bank now sees RBA raising the cash rate by 25bps in November

RBA Jacobs seeks demand-driven reserves system, cash rate near target

RBA official Jacobs says the central bank aims to transition from RBA-determined reserves to banking system-determined reserves while keeping the cash rate close to the Board target.

RBA markets head Jacobs: dynamic liquidity supply, cash rate target

Reserve Bank of Australia markets head Jacobs says the goal is a system that can dynamically supply whatever amount the banking system requires while keeping the cash rate near the board’s target.