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News 2026-09-12 13:13 UTC

Polymarket predicts 83% chance of Fed rate hike on September 16

The Federal Reserve's September meeting just went from "maybe" to "almost certainly." Polymarket bettors are now pricing in an 83% probability that the Fed will raise interest rates by 25 basis points when the FOMC wraps its two-day meeting on September 16, a dramatic jump from the 50-60% range jus…