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Paul Krugman wrote that rising borrowing costs are a worldwide phenomenon tied to a surge in AI investment and corporate demand for funds. He said he does not think the Trump administration is responsible for high long-term rates and criticized Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent’s efforts to suppress yields.
As Wall Street debates whether Citadel Securities ’ call for a surprise Federal Reserve rate hike this week is viable, macro researcher Jim Bianco highlighted that current market pricing showing a 38% probability means the firm’s prediction “is not that far” from reality. Citadel Foresees End of Forward Guidance Report
Economist Mohamed El-Erian has warned that surging global yields are being actively driven higher by energy costs and “massive bond issuance ahead,” coming just ahead of next week’s Federal Reserve meeting, where market participants expect benchmark interest rates to remain unchanged for now. Nominal Yields Spike Acros