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Strategists say France remains the main topic in client discussions as foreign investors sell and domestic buyers step in during sovereign stress episodes. They also warn that these flow shifts may not prevent further spread widening.
Societe Generale strategists expect a rotation from foreign to domestic investors in the French government bond market as uncertainty persists. They said wider spreads may remain likely, but investors are unlikely to exit OATs altogether.
French government bonds are being priced more like peripheral debt as the OAT-Bund spread moves above 140 basis points, according to Federated Hermes' Mitch Reznick. Investors are also focused on France's high debt, large deficit, increased supply and political uncertainty ahead of the presidential election.
Kenanga economists expect the dollar to trade between 4.08 and 4.10 ringgit next week, with risks tilted toward further ringgit weakness. They said U.S. inflation data, Fed rate expectations, Malaysia’s Budget 2027 and geopolitical risks may influence the pair.
JGB yields steadied after a 30-year auction, though investors stayed wary of spillover from European debt and further Japan and US rate hikes.