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Nifty 50 and BSE Sensex fall 0.4% and 0.2% as RBI hikes repo rate by 25 basis points and shifts to “calibrated tightening”; Brent rises toward $101/bbl, with autos and real estate weaker and small-caps up.
Indian shares trimmed losses after the Reserve Bank of India hiked its benchmark repo rate by 25 basis points to 5.5% to counter inflationary pressures, while financial stocks reversed early declines.
Most emerging Asian stock markets slipped on Wednesday, led by declines in Singapore and South Korea, as higher oil prices and US Treasury yields near multi-year highs weighed on investor sentiment. Crude climbed back above $100 a barrel as a storm heading for North American oil-producing regions and Houthi attacks on
India's overnight indexed swap rates suggest the Reserve Bank of India may implement a larger-than-expected interest rate hike on Wednesday, with swaps pricing in a 25 basis point increase and a modest probability of a 50 basis point move. This potential 'catch-up' hike comes as policymakers grapple with price pressure
Swap pricing in India suggests the Reserve Bank of India may deliver a larger-than-expected interest rate hike on Wednesday due to persistent price pressures and surging global yields. A 50 basis point increase is seen as a possibility, though most economists polled by Reuters anticipate a 25 basis point hike.
Reuters poll shows 35 of 61 economists expect the Reserve Bank of India to raise its repo rate to 5.50% at its Oct. 5-7 meeting. The case is being driven by broadening inflation, near-8% April-June growth and tighter global rate settings.
Nearly half of India's inflation basket categories now rise 4% or more year on year, while 38 of 61 economists in a Reuters poll expect a 25-basis-point RBI hike on Oct. 5-7.
Reuters preview says the rupee and government bonds are likely to stay under pressure in a holiday-shortened week. Traders are watching elevated oil prices, multi-year-high global yields and expectations for an RBI rate hike next week.
Indian government bonds are expected to extend gains in early trading on Tuesday, supported by falling U.S. Treasury yields and oil prices. However, concerns over liquidity tightening and potential interest rate hikes by the Reserve Bank of India may limit the upside. The benchmark 6.94% 2036 bond yield is forecast to