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The GDPNow model estimate for third-quarter real GDP growth was unchanged from September 30 after rounding. The nowcast for real gross private domestic investment growth rose, while the nowcast for real personal consumption expenditures growth fell.
The Atlanta Fed GDPNow model estimate for third-quarter 2026 real GDP growth was unchanged on October 1 after rounding. The latest Census Bureau and ISM releases lifted the nowcast for real private domestic investment growth and lowered the nowcast for real personal consumption expenditures growth.
The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the third quarter of 2026 is 5.1 percent on September 17, unchanged from September 16 after rounding. After this morning's housing starts release from the US Census Bureau, the nowcast of third-quarter real residential investment growth
In August, Ed Yardeni held the highest year-end target for the S&P 500 on Wall Street at 8,400. This week he cut it to 7,900. Nothing broke in corporate earnings. What changed is the price of money. The Fed Hiked, And The Bar For Another One Is Low The Federal Open Market Committee raised the federal funds rate by 25 b
Markets now price about a 25% chance of a September Federal Reserve rate hike on Polymarket, down from around 60% earlier this month, after July CPI and PPI met or undershot estimates and weak payrolls added to easing expectations.