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European stocks edged higher on Monday, with the STOXX 50 and STOXX 600 both gaining 0.3%, as investors braced for a busy week of key economic and policy announcements. Markets are awaiting interest rate decisions from the Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank, alongside inflation and GDP data from the eurozone
U.S. stock futures swung between gains and losses Tuesday, with the Dow Jones up 0.19%; the report says the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 fell. It also cites an Iranian official’s threat to target undersea communication cables in the Strait of Hormuz.
By Carmel Crimmins Oct 15 (Reuters) — Hello there. The global selloff in the AI trade is sending investors piling into government bonds. They’re searching for safe havens as rising interest rates stoke concern about whether the billions poured into artificial intelligence will deliver sufficient returns. US Treasuries
Analysts brace for higher risk premium ahead of Italy vote BTP-Bund spread widens on fiscal, political concerns End of EU recovery funds raises pressure for structural reforms By Sara Rossi and Valentina Consiglio MILAN, Oct 15 (Reuters) — Italy's national election next year throws doubt on Rome's plans to reverse the
JAKARTA, Oct 15 (Reuters) — Malaysian palm oil futures fell on Thursday, snapping a three-session winning streak as weaker crude oil prices and declines in rival edible oils on the Dalian market weighed on sentiment. The benchmark palm oil contract for December delivery on the Bursa Malaysia Derivatives Exchange lost 5
BEIJING, Oct 15 (Reuters) — Chicago Board of Trade soybean futures extended a decline on Thursday as active harvesting in the US Midwest supported supplies, although losses were limited by a resumption of Chinese purchases of US cargoes. Fundamentals The most-traded soybeans contract on the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT
Oct 15 (Reuters) — Gold prices were nearly steady on Thursday after touching a one-week low in the previous session as hot inflation data boosted expectations of a US Federal Reserve rate hike this month. Fundamentals Spot gold was little changed at $4,114.57 per ounce, as of 0007 GMT, after hitting its lowest level si
Oct 14 (Reuters) — The British pound rose to a 1-week high against the dollar on Wednesday as traders awaited a US inflation report that could influence the monetary policy path. Sterling was up 0.1% at 1.3268 per dollar by 1023 GMT, touching its strongest level since October 7. The currency also rose to a fresh 16-mon
Rep. Thomas Massie said the legislation increases government spending by hundreds of billions of dollars over the next few years. Separately, projections cited in the report put the U.S. federal deficit at 6.1% of GDP in 2027.
(Adds detail, further comments; paragraphs 1-3,5-11) BANGKOK, Oct 14 (Reuters) — France should solve its own debt woes through fiscal policy consolidation, European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde said on Wednesday, effectively playing down speculation about an ECB intervention in the bond market. French gover
BEIJING, Oct 14 (Reuters) — Chicago corn futures fell on Wednesday as traders weighed rising supplies from the advancing US Midwest harvest against improving demand fuelled by prices hovering near two-month lows. Fundamentals The most-traded corn contract on the Chicago Board of Trade fell 0.1% to $4.82-1/4 a bushel by
LONDON, Oct 13 (Reuters) — Rising government bond yields are making it much harder for major developed economies to stabilise debt burdens, with countries including France, the US and Britain facing growing fiscal challenges, credit rating agency Fitch said on Tuesday. In a report, Fitch said benchmark 10-year governme
(Adds economist reaction in paragraphs 4-5) Pensions account for 32% of French education ministry spending 30% of interior ministry's budget is spent on pensions PARIS, Oct 13 (Reuters) — Nearly a third of some French ministries' budgets pay for the pensions of retired civil servants, squeezing out spending on other pr
Pensions account for 32% of French education spending 30% of interior ministry's budget is pensions PARIS, Oct 13 (Reuters) — Nearly a third of some French ministries' budgets pay for the pensions of retired civil servants, squeezing out spending on other priorities such as education, a government report said. The repo
IMF sees global growth at 3.1% in 2026 and 3.4% in 2027 Risks to outlook include ending of AI boom and growing debt levels IMF says steep drop in AI investment could cut global GDP by 1.1% by 2028 Prolonged Middle East war could cut 2027 growth by 0.5 point IMF warns policymakers against complacency By David Lawder and
BANGKOK, Oct 13 (Reuters) — The International Monetary Fund on Tuesday nudged up its global economic growth outlook for this year as strong AI investment offsets the energy shock from the war in the Middle East, but the global lender also warned that downside risks are mounting. 2026 estimates October vs prior estimate
Services offset weakness in industry and construction Firms expect industrial output to pick up in October PARIS, Oct 12 (Reuters) — The French economy barely grew in the third quarter, with the service sector just about making up for weakness in manufacturing, construction and agriculture, the Bank of France estimated
Houthi attacks on Riyadh’s King Khalid International Airport and other Saudi cities are disrupting air travel and prompting airlines, travelers and companies to reassess plans. The strikes add pressure to Saudi Arabia’s tourism and investment push as the kingdom faces renewed security risks.
France’s 10-year sovereign yield has risen to around 4.90%, the highest since 2002, with the spread to Germany at its widest since the euro zone crisis. The commentary says the move reflects worsening public finances, political dysfunction and weak growth.
RBC Capital Markets lowered its 2027 adjusted pretax profit forecast for Barclays, citing weakness in investment bank income and slightly higher expenses. The broker kept an outperform rating but cut its price target to 525 pence from 550 pence.
RBC Capital Markets lowered its 2027 adjusted pretax profit forecast for Barclays, citing weaker investment bank income and slightly higher expenses. The broker kept an outperform rating but cut its target price to 525 pence from 550 pence.
MUFG Bank's Derek Halpenny said Japan potentially introducing tax-free opportunities to hold domestic government bonds could support the yen and affect flows into foreign equity markets. He also noted record foreign equity purchases through Japan's NISA program and said the dollar rose 0.2% to 158.23 yen.
Fitch says U.S. and European high-yield credit continues to benefit from solid investor demand, with lenders and investors competing to finance leveraged issuers. The firm said spreads remain below the 20-year average, supporting risk-adjusted returns.
Morgan Stanley said it remains positioned in intermediate Japanese government bonds, expecting shorter- and longer-tenor bonds to underperform. The bank cited faster Bank of Japan hike pricing and shifting pension-rebalancing expectations.
Market Talk comments pointed to euro resilience versus French fiscal worries, rising French sovereign credit risk and steadying Treasury yields. The roundup also cited Germany’s improved growth outlook and an upcoming Canadian jobs report.
Commerzbank’s Jörg Kraemer says euro-zone public-debt levels have risen and fiscal-reform openness is weaker, making potential French debt stress a larger systematic risk than during the Greece crisis.
Strategists say France remains the main topic in client discussions as foreign investors sell and domestic buyers step in during sovereign stress episodes. They also warn that these flow shifts may not prevent further spread widening.
Societe Generale strategists expect a rotation from foreign to domestic investors in the French government bond market as uncertainty persists. They said wider spreads may remain likely, but investors are unlikely to exit OATs altogether.
French government bonds are being priced more like peripheral debt as the OAT-Bund spread moves above 140 basis points, according to Federated Hermes' Mitch Reznick. Investors are also focused on France's high debt, large deficit, increased supply and political uncertainty ahead of the presidential election.
Barron's said Delta Air Lines is scheduled to report earnings on Friday, while the University of Michigan will release its October consumer sentiment index. Economists surveyed by the publication forecast a 48 reading, up from September's 47.8.