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The Federal Reserve delivered the quarter-point rate hike Wall Street expected Wednesday. But its new projections suggest the Fed isn’t done: 16 of 18 policymakers see at least one more increase this year. The Fed unanimously raised its target rate to 3.75%-4%, its first increase since 2023. Median Projection Implies O
WSJ reports most Fed officials penciled at least one more rate hike for this year in the dot plot, implying rates just above 4%. Chairman Kevin Warsh again declined to submit a projection.
FOMC: Fed Projections Show 12 Of 18 Officials See One More 25-Basis-Point Rate Hike This Year; Four See Two Hikes; Two See No More Hikes; Fed Policymakers See 4.1% Unemployment Rate At End Of 2026 Versus 4.3% In June Projections; Fed Policymakers See End-2026 Pce Inflation At 3.7% Versus 3.6% In June; Core Seen At 3.4%
Fed officials’ quarterly projections after their latest policy meeting show they expect one more interest rate increase this year, followed by rates held steady in 2027.
Wall Street has spent weeks debating whether the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates Wednesday. The futures market has almost stopped debating. Traders assign a 93% probability to a quarter-point hike, which would lift the federal funds rate to 3.75%—4.00%. It would be the Fed’s first increase since July 2023. On
Bitcoin (BTC) trades above $72,000 and is up 14.8% on the week as market expectations for the Federal Reserve’s next move shift, while Treasury buyback changes and short liquidations add support.
The U.S. labor market cooled in June with employers adding 57,000 jobs, falling short of the 110,000 economists had expected and sharply decelerating from May’s reading of 129,000. The unemployment rate edged down to 4.2%, below the 4.3% consensus. Average hourly earnings rose 0.3% on the month, matching the 0.3% expec
**Notes/Observations** - Month-end data flow was broadly constructive for the eurozone but added to the ECB's policy dilemma. French preliminary June CPI surprised to the downside at 1.8% y/y (vs 2.0%e), bringing headline inflation back to target for the first time in three months, while French consumer spending (+0.5%
Gold's price movement may be determined by Thursday's inflation report as it balances the effects of a hawkish Fed and progress in US-Iran peace talks
Fedspeak vs. war deal: Here are the things that drove this week's stock market Skip Navigation Markets Business Investing Tech Politics Video Watchlist Investing Club PRO Livestream Menu The Federal Reserve gave Wall Street a reality check this week, but the S & P 500 refused to let go of its back-to-back weekly wins.