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10-Year Treasury yields touched 5.22% before pulling back to 5.16%, locking in a 17 bps gain for the week. The 40 bps surge over the past month reflects a hawkish Fed, rising inflation expectations, and poor demand at recent 2-Year, 5-Year, and 7-Year note auctions. The CVOL index spiked to its highest level since Marc
The Japanese yen weakened to 157.44 per dollar as traders watched for signs of currency intervention, a day after the Bank of Japan raised rates but offered no hawkish guidance. The dollar index rose 0.12% to 100.39.
The dollar loses some momentum, particularly versus the Japanese yen, as markets price upcoming central bank decisions amid an uncertain outlook and perceive the Fed as more hawkish than the Bank of Japan after both raised rates this week.
Indonesian rupiah hovered around IDR 17,750 per U.S. dollar on Monday after recent weakness as the dollar index stayed near a two-week high. House Commission XI approved Destry Damayanti as BI governor for 2026–2031.
Kevin Warsh used his first Jackson Hole keynote to reaffirm a 2% PCE target and say conditions are not restrictive, pushing markets to price more September rate-hike risk.
The BEA confirms July PCE inflation, Personal Income & Outlays, and the second estimate of Q2 GDP are scheduled for 8:30 a.m. ET Wednesday.
US Payrolls Seen Slowing As Wage Growth Holds Firm - Warsh: Inflation Outlook Has Improved But Won t Say If Fed Should Hike - Fed s Warsh Picks Senior Bessent Staffer To Serve As Adviser - ECB Views Splinter On Next Rate Move As Inflation Sinks With Oil - ECB s Stournaras Sees Smaller Likelihood Of Further Rate Hike
USD USTs closed last week with a modest steepening bias, extending the broader trend seen through the week. The front-end led the recovery throughout, supported by softer oil and continued repricing lower in Fed tightening expectations, while the long end remained comparatively heavy after 30Y UST yields mean-reverted
The outlook for Fed interest rates shifts in a hawkish direction
President Donald Trump threatens to collect tolls at the Strait of Hormuz if diplomatic negotiations with Iran break down
S&P 500 futures decline as Trump threatens 'toll' collection at Strait of Hormuz and warns of severe US military strikes if Iran doesn't stop its 'highly paid PROXIES' in Lebanon