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U.S. stocks slid at midday Wednesday as the 10-year Treasury yield surged to its highest level since 2007, after blowout September PMI data cemented bets for another Federal Reserve rate hike and sent traders scrambling out of richly valued growth names. The yield on the 10-year Treasury note jumped 12 basis points to
Friday's August employment report may decide whether the Fed pauses or raises rates on Sept. 16, with CME FedWatch pricing a 50-50 split. Economists expect 56,000 jobs added, unemployment at 4.1% and hourly earnings up 0.3% month on month.
Market pricing assigns a 63.9% probability to a September meeting target rate range of 3.50%–3.75% and a 36.1% probability to 3.75%–4.00%.