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* Oil has continued to trend lower during Wednesday's APAC session as talks continue on the sidelines of this week's UN gathering. The fact negotiations are even taking place to facilitate Middle East energy shipments is driving optimism in markets but the situation remains very precarious. UST futures are higher, but
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY * TRUMP HAILS 'VERY GOOD' IRAN TALKS FOLLOWING ANNIHILATION THREAT - BBG: #cdbad0a1-5c8d-4cdb-9819-370162b99299 * ZELENSKY ASKS TRUMP FOR WINTER ARMS PACKAGE, EXPECTS ENERGY-CEASEFIRE PUSH - WSJ: #a4c79a68-e487-466b-a806-4885fa3200e0 * LASTING SHOCKS, FIRMING DEMAND REQUIRE FED ACTION - BARKIN - MNI
Key takeaways Long-end yields have "normalised" to pre-GFC levels. The problem is, net interest expenses are at a record high. History suggests yields might have to rise much more before Washington is incentivised to pursue fiscal consolidation. Today's events: weekly ADP, comments by Williams, Jefferson and Barkin. Co
Treasury yields fell across maturities after the Federal Reserve raised rates by a quarter point and kept a hawkish stance. The 10-year yield dropped 7 basis points to 4.95%, while the 2-year, 5-year and 30-year also eased.
Fed's Williams: Expect unemployment rate to edge down gradually to 4% in 2028
Fed's Williams: Expect real GDP growth to be around 2%-2.25% this year and over the next two years.
Fed's Williams: Expect overall inflation to decline to around 3.25% by year-end, continue toward our 2% goal in 2027 and land on target in 2028.