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(The opinions expressed here are those of the author.) By Anna Szymanski Sept 18 (Reuters) — Warnings of machine-driven human extinction kicked off the week, but the market's attention quickly turned to more prosaic matters, namely Middle East energy disruption and the first Federal Reserve rate hike in three years. Am
Prediction-market and futures pricing moved sharply toward a September Federal Reserve rate hike after core inflation came in hotter than expected. Polymarket put the chance of a 25-basis-point hike around 80%, while CME FedWatch showed 91.6% Friday morning.
Truflation CEO Stefan Rust told on Monday that Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh ’s hawkishness is a "distraction from his dovishness," predicting no rate hike at next week’s meeting. Asked what could force Warsh to raise rates, Rust pointed to oil, which was trading around $97. "Oil prices are definitely going to driv
Brent crude jumped past $92 after attacks on oil tankers in the Strait of Hormuz, while oil-linked stocks and broader equity futures moved lower in premarket trading.
Economists Jeremy Siegel and Ed Yardeni criticize Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent’s expanded bond buybacks, saying the intervention could distort yield-curve signals for the Fed.
The article says Treasury Secretary Bessent’s increased buyback of long-dated securities has helped iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF TLT bounce out of the danger zone, while the initial euphoria faded.
The Treasury Department doubles its long-dated bond buyback operations from $2 billion to $4 billion per operation, while the 30-year yield briefly fell to 5.19% before rising to 5.27%.
Fed's Chair Warsh: It was no secret that I was very critical of the 2020 Fed framework.