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Sterling’s resilience against the USD and outperformance versus the EUR in 2026 have exceeded expectations, supported by stronger-than-anticipated UK growth, hawkish BoE rate expectations and France’s fiscal difficulties. However, these tailwinds may prove temporary. Higher energy costs, potential tax increases and spe
The beginning of the earnings season has led to investors pulling back a little bit from risk-seeking behaviour. This pullback is despite the fact that, of the 165 five S&P 500 companies reporting so far, nearly 98% have beat earnings expectations. But investors are especially focused on technology companies given that
Despite higher oil prices and warnings from the IMF that elevated bond yields threaten global growth through systemic risks, investor sentiment remains resilient, with only a modest retreat from aggressive risk-taking. Markets are assuming no major escalation in the Middle East before the US midterm elections, supporte
Higher oil prices and the global bond sell off are failing to significantly deter investors from risk-seeking behaviour. Key to investor confidence is the AI investment boom. Investors may also believe central banks can bring their economies in for soft landings. Likely important on this front are oil and refined produ
Central bank rate hikes in the past two weeks have not daunted investors. The fall in oil prices is reducing the pressure on central banks to keep raising rates which is capping the rise in the global yields. There are two sources of the fall in oil prices. First, Saudi Arabia is restarting its East-West pipeline, whic
At present, our positioning model G10 FX PIX 3.0 signals that the GBP and AUD are oversold. Subsequently, we have entered long positions in GBP/USD with a target of +4% and a stop-loss of -2% and AUD/USD with a target of +3% and a stop loss of -1.5%. The model is down -1.47% with a hit ratio of 44% over the past twelve
Credit Agricole says PM Burnham could be the most damaging outcome for the Pound
Credit Agricole: PM Burnham Could Be The Most Damaging Outcome For The Pound - eFX
Credit Agricole says PM Burnham could be the most damaging outcome for the Pound