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**Consensus expectations: - CPI North Rhine Westphalia M/M: No est v -0.2% prior; Y/Y: No est v 2.4% prior - CPI Hesse M/M: No est v -0.2% prior; Y/Y: No est v 2.6% prior - CPI Bavaria M/M: No est v -0.2% prior; Y/Y: No est v 2.6% prior - CPI Brandenburg M/M: No est v -0.1% prior; Y/Y: No est v 2.8% prior - CPI Saxony
CPI EU Harmonized M/M: % v 0.0%e; Y/Y: % v 2.3%e **Insight: ECB has an symmetrical inflation target of 2% - Annual Headline inflation back at target for the 1st time in 3 months - Annual Headline inflation stays above target for 3rd straight month
Current rhetoric believes no urgency for ECB to act as oil prices ease Recent comments: - On Jun 29th ECB Chief Lagarde stated that was not accurate to describe June move as an insurance hike; The resilience Europe had built meant rate hike effects on the economy were more contained; Resilience meant ECB can raise rate