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Brazilian Real at 5.50 Amid Global Risk Aversion

The Brazilian real traded little changed around 5.50 per USD after weakening nearly 0.7% on November 5th amid heightened risk aversion across global markets. Pressure stemmed mainly from Wall Street, where AI stocks suffered steep losses. The selloff prompted investors to reduce exposure to riskier assets, including emerging-market currencies, and seek shelter in the US dollar. Domestically, fiscal conditions remain in focus as investors and business leaders press the government for further adjustments and await details of President Lula’s fourth-term economic agenda. Meanwhile, the BCB held the Selic rate at 13.75%, pausing its easing cycle and providing some support to the real by maintaining a wide interest-rate differential with the US. However, the decision reflected a challenging outlook marked by weaker growth, higher inflation and increased uncertainty following Lula’s reelection.

The Brazilian real traded little changed around 5.50 per USD after weakening nearly 0.7% on November 5th amid heightened risk aversion across global markets. Pressure stemmed mainly from Wall Street, where AI stocks suffered steep losses. The selloff prompted investors to reduce exposure to riskier assets, including emerging-market currencies, and seek shelter in the US dollar. Domestically, fiscal conditions remain in focus as investors and business leaders press the government for further adjustments and await details of President Lula’s fourth-term economic agenda.

Meanwhile, the BCB held the Selic rate at 13.75%, pausing its easing cycle and providing some support to the real by maintaining a wide interest-rate differential with the US. However, the decision reflected a challenging outlook marked by weaker growth, higher inflation and increased uncertainty following Lula’s reelection.

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