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Sterling Rises Ahead of BoE Rate Decision

The pound rose above $1.34, reaching its highest level since mid-September, as investors positioned for the Bank of England’s expected return to monetary tightening later this week. Meanwhile, renewed declines in oil prices and uncertainty surrounding Tuesday’s US midterm elections weighed on the US dollar. The Bank of England is widely expected to deliver its first interest rate hike since 2023 on Thursday, amid mounting inflationary pressures linked to the Iran war and signs of resilience in the UK economy. However, policymakers are also expected to push back against market expectations of several additional rate increases next year. Meanwhile, Chancellor John Healey’s first budget largely met market expectations, offering few surprises. Elsewhere, oil prices declined as reports suggested US President Donald Trump was willing to give diplomacy with Iran more time before considering further military action after Tuesday’s midterm elections.

The pound rose above $1.34, reaching its highest level since mid-September, as investors positioned for the Bank of England’s expected return to monetary tightening later this week. Meanwhile, renewed declines in oil prices and uncertainty surrounding Tuesday’s US midterm elections weighed on the US dollar. The Bank of England is widely expected to deliver its first interest rate hike since 2023 on Thursday, amid mounting inflationary pressures linked to the Iran war and signs of resilience in the UK economy. However, policymakers are also expected to push back against market expectations of several additional rate increases next year.

Meanwhile, Chancellor John Healey’s first budget largely met market expectations, offering few surprises. Elsewhere, oil prices declined as reports suggested US President Donald Trump was willing to give diplomacy with Iran more time before considering further military action after Tuesday’s midterm elections.

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