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Euro Near 2025 Lows Ahead of ECB Rate Decision

The euro traded below $1.115, hovering near its lowest level since April 2025, as investors awaited the European Central Bank’s policy announcement. Sentiment remained under pressure amid France’s deteriorating fiscal outlook and growing concerns in bond markets. The ECB is widely expected to leave interest rates unchanged amid signs of slowing economic growth, keeping attention on its forward guidance. Friday’s eurozone GDP data are expected to show weaker growth, reflecting headwinds from summer heatwaves, low water levels in major waterways, and rising global bond yields. Meanwhile, inflation signals remain mixed, with Germany’s fuel-tax rebate and easing price pressures in Spain expected to help moderate inflation. In the US, the Federal Reserve also kept rates unchanged on Wednesday, as anticipated. Markets are now pricing in the possibility of rate hikes from both the ECB and the Fed in December.

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09:26:38 AM UTC
SquawkNews
By Amanda CooperThe euro was steady on Thursday ahead of a policy decision from the European Central Bank, where the focus will fall on the outlook for inflation and the bond-market turmoil in France, while the dollar wobbled after the Federal Reserve tempered bets on rate hikes next year.The ECB i…

The euro traded below $1.115, hovering near its lowest level since April 2025, as investors awaited the European Central Bank’s policy announcement. Sentiment remained under pressure amid France’s deteriorating fiscal outlook and growing concerns in bond markets. The ECB is widely expected to leave interest rates unchanged amid signs of slowing economic growth, keeping attention on its forward guidance. Friday’s eurozone GDP data are expected to show weaker growth, reflecting headwinds from summer heatwaves, low water levels in major waterways, and rising global bond yields.

Meanwhile, inflation signals remain mixed, with Germany’s fuel-tax rebate and easing price pressures in Spain expected to help moderate inflation. In the US, the Federal Reserve also kept rates unchanged on Wednesday, as anticipated. Markets are now pricing in the possibility of rate hikes from both the ECB and the Fed in December.

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