CEE MARKETS — Crown, forint off multi — week highs as FX rally pauses
PRAGUE, Oct 15 (Reuters) — The Hungarian forint and Czech crown hovered around three-week highs as a slight rally by central Europe's currencies paused, with markets in risk-off mode as investors weighed prospects of a US interest rate hike. After trending lower in September, currencies have seen a small rebound in recent weeks, although an acceleration in US consumer prices in September has put another rate hike on the radar and helped the dollar "Our bearish CEE FX view remains unchanged: a firmer US dollar and record-high gas prices will make it difficult for regional currencies to sustain gains," ING said in a note "The (Polish zloty) looks particularly vulnerable given the (central bank's) dovish stance relative to market pricing" The zloty was a touch stronger at 4.37 to the euro — the region's main reference currency — on Thursday The Czech central bank is the only in the region to have raised interest rates this year, while Poland's policymakers have shown no rush to tighten with rising fuel costs pushing inflation up Polish central banker Ireneusz Dabrowski said in an interview published on Wednesday that interest rates could remain unchanged until the beginning of next ye
PRAGUE, Oct 15 (Reuters) — The Hungarian forint and Czech crown hovered around three-week highs as a slight rally by central Europe's currencies paused, with markets in risk-off mode as investors weighed prospects of a US interest rate hike.
After trending lower in September, currencies have seen a small rebound in recent weeks, although an acceleration in US consumer prices in September has put another rate hike on the radar and helped the dollar "Our bearish CEE FX view remains unchanged: a firmer US dollar and record-high gas prices will make it difficult for regional currencies to sustain gains," ING said in a note "The (Polish zloty) looks particularly vulnerable given the (central bank's) dovish stance relative to market pricing" The zloty was a touch stronger at 4.37 to the euro — the region's main reference currency — on Thursday The Czech central bank is the only in the region to have raised interest rates this year, while Poland's policymakers have shown no rush to tighten with rising fuel costs pushing inflation up Polish central banker Ireneusz Dabrowski said in an interview published on Wednesday that interest rates could remain unchanged until the beginning of next year, but the bank would not hesitate to raise them if data is unfavourable In other trading, stock markets were mixed but little changed The forint was a tad higher on the day at 363.90 per euro, off a high of 363.00 hit on Wednesday, and the crown added 0.1%, reaching 24.35 to the euro; both have hit multi-week highs this week but remain well off peaks hit at the end of the summer months Bank CSOB said the crown would continue to track global markets until Czech policymakers begin commenting on expectations for the next rate meeting in November, when some analysts expect a rate hike could be on the table "On one hand, the crown will not welcome a strong dollar, reflecting yesterday's higher inflation figures.
On the other hand, it may feel some relief from a slight decline in oil prices," CSOB said Cee Markets Snapshot At 1002 Cet CURRENCIES Latest Previou Daily Change trade s close change in 2026 Czech 0 % Hungary 00 0 % Polish % Romania Serbian 00 0 % Note: daily change calculated from 1800 CET STOCKS Latest Previou Daily Change s close change in 2026 Prague 2623.0 2617.33 +0.22 -2.33% 0 00 % Budapes 143681 143485. +0.14 +29.41 t.49 08 % % Warsaw 0 % Buchare 34291.
33831.7 +1.36 +40.32 st 88 5 % % BONDS Yield Yield Spread Daily (bid) change vs change Bund in spread Czech ps 2-year Czech ps 5-year Czech ps 10-year Poland ps Poland ps Poland ps FORWARD RATE 3x6 6x9 9x12 3M AGREEMENTS interba nk Czech Poland Note: FRA quotes are for ask prices (Reporting by Jason Hovet in Prague and Pawel Florkiewicz in Warsaw; Editing by Alexandra Hudson) ((breaking-news-cee@thomsonreuters.com)