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Escalating Middle East Attacks Threaten Oil Supply Routes and Infrastructure

Houthi missile and drone strikes on Saudi Arabia threaten oil infrastructure and Red Sea exports. Shipping risks are also rising in the Strait of Hormuz; the proposed Russia-Ukraine energy ceasefire is under strain amid reported fresh Russian attacks.

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Houthi missile and drone strikes on Saudi Arabia are intensifying, putting key oil infrastructure and exports via the Red Sea at risk. Energy analysts say Yanbu and Jizan are especially vulnerable. Disruption could prompt Saudi Arabia to send more crude through the Strait of Hormuz, where shipping risks are also increasing. Trump's Russian diesel deal may address only 10% of the estimated global supply shortfall, providing limited relief from elevated fuel prices.

The proposed Russia-Ukraine energy ceasefire is under pressure: Kyiv reports new Russian attacks, while Moscow has not confirmed an agreement. The outlook includes persistent supply disruptions, elevated diesel prices and continued upside risks for oil.