Ibovespa Hits Record High on Election Polls
The Ibovespa rose 1.4% to close at a record 209,067 on Friday as the first voting-intention polls released after the first round confirmed Flávio Bolsonaro’s lead over President Lula in the runoff. Markets view Bolsonaro as more fiscally restrictive, strengthening expectations that a potential administration could tighten control over public spending and improve Brazil’s fiscal position. The race remains tight, with some polls showing a statistical tie. Financial stocks were mostly higher, with Itaú up 2.3%, BB and Itaúsa gaining 1.6% each, and B3 advancing 2.5%. Petrobras rose 0.9% despite volatile oil prices. Vale turned positive late in the session, closing up 0.38% in a narrow range after iron ore prices hit multi-month lows. Retailers posted sharp gains as yields fell following the polls, despite rising inflation and a reading above the upper limit of the BCB’s target range. Magazine Luiza soared 19.2%. The Ibovespa gained 8.82% this week, its strongest weekly performance of 2026.
4% to close at a record 209,067 on Friday as the first voting-intention polls released after the first round confirmed Flávio Bolsonaro’s lead over President Lula in the runoff. Markets view Bolsonaro as more fiscally restrictive, strengthening expectations that a potential administration could tighten control over public spending and improve Brazil’s fiscal position. The race remains tight, with some polls showing a statistical tie. 5%.
9% despite volatile oil prices. 38% in a narrow range after iron ore prices hit multi-month lows. Retailers posted sharp gains as yields fell following the polls, despite rising inflation and a reading above the upper limit of the BCB’s target range. 2%.
82% this week, its strongest weekly performance of 2026.