Toronto-Dominion Bank Reports Q3 2026 Results: Full Earnings Call Transcript

Toronto-Dominion Bank (TSX: TD ) held its third-quarter earnings conference call on Thursday. Below is the complete transcript from the call. This transcript is brought to you APIs. For real-time access to our entire catalog, please visit for a consultation.

77, driven by an 8% revenue growth year over year. The bank achieved a 16% ROE, up 280 basis points from the previous year, and is on track to outperform its EPS growth and ROE targets for fiscal 2026. 3%, with plans to return over $13 billion in capital by fiscal 2027 through share buybacks. S.

Banking showed positive loan growth and strong performance in bank card balances and home equity lending, with plans to open 100 new branches by 2028. Wealth Management and Insurance segments delivered record revenue and assets, with strong growth in digital onboarding and ETF assets. TD is leading in AI deployment, focusing on retail, credit processes, and contact centers, with an expected $200 million in value from AI for fiscal 2026. Management expressed confidence in credit quality, with total PCLs expected near the lower end of the 40 to 50 basis-point range for fiscal 2026.

The bank maintained strong capital flexibility, emphasizing organic growth, strategic investments, and capital returns to shareholders. Full Transcript OPERATOR Good morning, everyone. Welcome to the TD Bank Group third quarter 2026 earnings conference call. I would now like to turn the meeting over to Ms.

Brooke Hales, Head of Investor Relations. Please go ahead, Ms. Hales. Brooke Hales, Head of Investor Relations Thank you, operator.

Good morning, and welcome to TD Bank Group's third quarter 2026 results presentation. S. Banking, after which Kelvin Tran, the Bank CFO, will present our third quarter operating results. Ajay Bambowale, Chief Risk Officer, will then offer comments on credit quality, after which we will invite questions from analysts on the phone.

Also present today to answer your questions are Sona Mehta, Group Head, Canadian Personal Banking; Barbara Hooper, Group Head, Canadian Business Banking; Paul Clark, Group Head, Wealth Management and Insurance; and Tim Wiggan, Group Head, Wholesale Banking. Please turn to the next slide. Our comments during this call may contain forward-looking statements which involve assumptions and have inherent risks and uncertainties. Actual results could differ materially.

I would also remind listeners that the Bank uses non-GAAP financial measures to arrive at adjusted results. The Bank believes that adjusted results provide readers with a better understanding of how management views the Bank's performance. Ray, Leo and Kelvin will be referring to adjusted results in their remarks. Additional information about non-GAAP measures and material factors and assumptions is available in our Q3 2026 MD&A.

I will now hand the presentation over to Ray. Bharat Masrani, Group President and CEO Thank you, Brooke, and good morning, everyone. Thanks for joining us. S.

Banking. S. trade relationship. Our economies are interconnected, and we are hopeful the two countries will ultimately find common ground.

, and globally to support their growth as we navigate this uncertain environment. In Canada, trade tensions have not dampened investment opportunities as governments seek to drive new activity. In a report published earlier this week, TD Economics estimates more than $1 trillion in spending—and possibly considerably more—could be rolled out across Canada over the coming decade in a historic investment super cycle. We are very well positioned to benefit from this activity as we unlock investment opportunities.

We have the means to deploy capital to support our clients and the broader economy. Please turn to the next slide. 77. Revenue grew 8% year over year, driven by momentum in our markets-driven businesses, margin expansion and volume growth in Canadian Personal and Commercial Banking.

Impaired PCLs declined quarter over quarter, reflecting strong credit performance. We now expect total PCLs near the lower end of our prior 40 to 50 basis-point range in fiscal 2026. Ajay will share more details in a few minutes. TD delivered positive operating leverage for the fifth consecutive quarter.

The bank is driving structural cost reductions while at the same time accelerating investments across AI innovation and frontline talent. S. strategic cards portfolio, expenses were up 1% year over year. We expect to achieve our 3% to 4% expense growth target for fiscal 2026.

ROE was 16%, up 280 basis points year over year. The bank is on track to significantly outperform its 6% to 8% EPS growth and 13% ROE target for fiscal 2026, provided that current macroeconomic conditions continue. 3%, with strong organic capital accretion offset by consistent share buybacks. TD has significant capital flexibility.

The lower DSP requirement and range create even more capital flexibility than we had before. We see growing deployment opportunities driven by the super cycle I mentioned earlier. TD is different than peers. We don't just start from a position of strength in capital.

We also produce capital at a very strong rate. As a result, it will take time for the bank to reduce its CET1 ratio. We continue to expect to reach 13% CET1 by the second half of fiscal 2027. We remain committed to returning excess capital to our shareholders.

To illustrate the potential magnitude of capital return, assuming continued strong organic capital accretion and RWA growth in line with fiscal 2026 year to date, TD could return over $13 billion in capital in fiscal 2027 to reach a 13% CET1 ratio by the end of that year. We are in an enviable position. TD has the flexibility to return substantial capital to shareholders while meeting our ROE objectives and retaining significant capacity to invest in organic growth and support clients and businesses in our communities. Please turn to Slide 3.

Canadian Personal and Commercial Banking delivered deposit and loan growth, supporting record earnings in the personal bank. We saw acquisition momentum in day-to-day banking products, including a record Q3 in digital sales, which were up 17% year over year. Small business banking acquisition was up 13% year over year, driven by our frontline distribution expansion and refreshed product lineup. In real estate secured lending, we grew loans 4% year over year.

Through speed and specialization, we delivered record proprietary originations this quarter while maintaining disciplined pricing. We delivered strong performance in our business bank, with loans and non-term deposits each up 8% year over year and commercial client acquisition up 10% year to date. S. Banking segment.

With total loans positive sequentially, the team continued to execute against the organic growth strategies we laid out at Investor Day. S. bank card balances, mid-market lending, and home equity lending were up 20%, 15%, and 6% year over year, respectively. S.

wealth business, we delivered record mass affluent investment assets, driven by net asset growth and market appreciation. S. Consistent with the branch repositioning plan shared at Investor Day and subject to regulatory approval, we are focused on opening 100 new stores, 100 new branches, by the end of calendar 2028, with work ongoing to identify additional opportunities through 2030 as we continue to invest in organic growth opportunities. Wealth Management and Insurance delivered record revenue, earnings, and assets.

We have strong momentum in wealth with market share gains across advice, direct investing, and ETFs. New accounts grew 26% year over year, highlighted by straight-through digital onboarding—over 90% in TD EasyTrade. Trades per day were up 20% year over year, and in ETFs we are on track to achieve our medium-term target of 54 billion in assets. Our insurance business continues its leadership role in AI and is accelerating deployment across the bank.

TD Insurance leads the Canadian industry in the scaled deployment of AI-powered vehicle damage estimation for auto claims, simplifying and accelerating repairs for our clients. Wholesale Banking delivered record revenue and earnings this quarter, reflecting the strength of our client franchise and product depth and favorable market conditions. TD Securities continued to strengthen its position as a trusted advisor on critical and complex global transactions. Our performance this quarter reflects the confidence clients have in our people, capabilities, and execution across markets, financing, and advisory solutions.

This continued to drive market share gains. S. equity and equity-linked league tables. We also saw continued momentum in building a world-class, integrated global transaction bank for our commercial and corporate clients.

With deposits up 18% year over year, our growing wholesale bank is an important driver of fee income acceleration and revenue diversification for TD. Please turn to Slide 4. We made significant progress in deepening client relationships on both sides of the border. The Canadian personal bank again achieved record penetration rates for both consumer and small business credit cards this quarter, and Wealth closed a record 24 billion in referrals year to date.

, we expanded our TD Premier program, which deepens relationships by bringing together our mass affluent clients’ banking and wealth needs. TD Premier is designed to drive organic growth, delivering acquisition on both sides of the balance sheet and accelerating the powerful referral engine from our retail branches. We continue to innovate to make TD simpler and faster. We have scaled GenAI knowledge management solutions across Canada, with over 20,000 client-facing colleagues now supported by these capabilities.

We're also leveraging AI to enhance the colleague and client experience. In TD Auto Finance Canada, we have automated approximately one third of the manual processes in funding and in launching digital income verification to deliver credit decisions faster. Finally, we continue to execute with discipline. Total bank ROE reached 16% this quarter, in line with the medium-term target we shared at Investor Day.

This reflects strong momentum in disciplined expense and capital management across our businesses as TD continues to deliver on the commitments we've shared with you. This quarter's record results were also supported by favorable market conditions in our Wealth and Wholesale Banking businesses. We are executing against the strategies that we shared at Investor Day. In fact, in many cases we're ahead of schedule, with strong growth momentum across our businesses.

We've already delivered on the 900 million in structural cost reductions that we targeted for fiscal 2026. 5 billion medium-term structural cost reduction target that we shared at Investor Day and in fact see potential upside as we fundamentally reset the cost base of the bank. S. with a stronger foundation and best-in-class talent.

We are increasingly positioned to out-compete in our footprint. In Wholesale Banking, we have almost doubled our quarterly revenue since the TD Cowen acquisition closed, and capital markets still represents a smaller percentage of TD’s revenue as compared to other G-SIB peers. We're just getting started in terms of what TD Securities can accomplish. And in Canada, across our personal and business banks and in Wealth, we are making the most significant investments in frontline distribution that TD has made in over a decade.

These levers are unique to TD and position us to continue our growth momentum. I see significant upside for the bank in the coming years. Please turn to Slide 5. TD is accelerating its leadership in AI.

The bank is increasingly emphasizing AI opportunities that transform end-to-end experiences, drive lower unit costs, and are scalable across the enterprise. In the first wave, we are focused on significant opportunities in retail, end-to-end credit, the software development life cycle, and our contact centers. We are scaling AI in our credit journeys to streamline application submission, automate document review processes, and accelerate speed to decision. In technology, we're using AI to help our engineering teams build and deploy software faster, improving productivity and accelerating innovation and the delivery of new capabilities.

Across the bank and in our contact centers, we will leverage AI to simplify routine client interactions and provide colleagues with tools and insights that deliver simpler, more seamless client experiences. Importantly, each of these key transformation initiatives is intended to drive financial performance while enhancing the client and colleague experience. Three quarters into the year, we have essentially hit our fiscal 2026 target of 200 million in value from AI. We expect to extract further value through the remainder of the year across predictive, generative, and agentic AI use cases.

Please turn to Slide 6. TD was ranked number one on TIME's Canada's Best Companies of 2026 list. TD is back to winning. To our colleagues across the bank, your efforts have driven this recognition and the bank's strong results this quarter.

Thank you for continuing to deliver for our clients and shareholders every day. And with that, let me hand it over to Leo. Leo Salom, President & CEO, TD Bank, America's Most Convenient Bank Thank you, Ray, and good morning, everyone. Please turn to Slide 7.

S. AML remediation program and, importantly, continue to strengthen the overall effectiveness of our financial crimes risk management capabilities. S. bank's inherent financial crimes risk profile as well as more frequent transaction monitoring coverage assessments.

Together, these enhancements provide greater visibility into emerging and evolving risks, help ensure our monitoring remains aligned to those risks, and allow us to more dynamically respond to those risks. We also are continuing to advance anti-trafficking and fraud detection capabilities through our investigative partnerships, further enhancing our ability to detect and respond to evolving financial crime threats.

Finally, we strengthened our financial crimes risk training program through the rollout of specialized training courses for colleagues in higher-risk business lines, helping reinforce the consistent application of our policies, standards, and controls across the organization. We also continue to make meaningful progress against the lookback activities required under the consent orders as reviews advanced across multiple populations this quarter. Overall, we remain confident in our remediation trajectory, and we see opportunities to accelerate elements of the remaining deliverables under our program. S.

S. banking to be in line with our mid-single-digit expense guidance. With that, I'll turn it over to Kelvin. Kelvin Vi Luan Tran, Group Head and Chief Financial Officer, FCPA, FCA, CFA Thank you, Leo.

Please turn to Slide 8. TD delivered record performance this quarter. We saw strong momentum across businesses with 8% top line growth. Strong execution coupled with heightened client activity and favorable market conditions led to robust growth in wholesale banking and wealth across our P&C businesses.

We continue to drive profitable growth and deepen relationships. Impaired PCLs declined quarter over quarter reflecting strong credit performance. S. Strategic Cards portfolio.

This disciplined expense management reflects significant structural cost reduction coupled with continued investments in business growth. 2%, in line with the medium-term target that we shared at Investor Day. S. Strategic Cards portfolio, FX, and insurance service expenses.

We've shared the details on Slide 23. Please turn to Slide 9. Canadian Personal and Commercial Banking delivered record revenue, PTPP, and earnings. We achieved record deposits this quarter, reflecting 1% growth in personal deposits and 5% growth in business deposits.

Strong deposit acquisition was driven by distribution expansion and TD's simpler and faster client experience.