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TSLA slips premarket after subdued Cybercab launch update

TSLA is lower in the premarket after a subdued Cybercab launch update. The market is pricing even odds of a September Fed rate hike, while the outlook cites slowing job growth and a temporary oil supply shock.

TSLA

TSLA down pm after a subdued Cybercab launch update.

Markets now price even odds of a September Fed rate hike; I expect the Fed to hold rates when they meet this month given slowing job growth and the temporary nature of the oil supply shock.

S&P 2026 EPS estimates keep rising on AI and energy, leaving the index at a 2026 P/E of 21.2x, whose earnings yield now sits just below the 10-year treasury yield (no equity premium).

I remain cautious on $TSLA given continued negative earnings revisions, the commoditization of unsupervised autonomy, and an extended valuation.

For greater detail please see my daily pre-market summary for Subscribers.