How To Trade SPY, QQQ, AAPL, MSFT, NVDA, GOOGL, META, And TSLA
Good Morning Traders! Today’s economic calendar continues the first week of September with a packed schedule covering labor conditions, productivity, trade, and the services economy. The first major data arrives with the July Trade Balance, Imports and Exports, Final Q2 Non-Farm Productivity and Unit Labor Costs, and Weekly Initial and Continuing Jobless Claims. Unit Labor Costs should be particularly worth watching because they provide another read on wage related inflation pressure, while Jobless Claims offer a timely look at whether labor market conditions are beginning to soften. Attention then shifts toward the services economy. Final S&P Global Services and Composite PMI, followed by the more closely watched ISM Services report. The headline index will provide an update on activity across the largest portion of the U.S. economy, while New Orders and Employment offer insigh...
Good Morning Traders! Today’s economic calendar continues the first week of September with a packed schedule covering labor conditions, productivity, trade, and the services economy.
The first major data arrives with the July Trade Balance, Imports and Exports, Final Q2 Non-Farm Productivity and Unit Labor Costs, and Weekly Initial and Continuing Jobless Claims.
Unit Labor Costs should be particularly worth watching because they provide another read on wage related inflation pressure, while Jobless Claims offer a timely look at whether labor market conditions are beginning to soften.
Attention then shifts toward the services economy.
Final S&P Global Services and Composite PMI, followed by the more closely watched ISM Services report.
The headline index will provide an update on activity across the largest portion of the U.S. economy, while New Orders and Employment offer insight into future demand and hiring.
ISM Services Prices Paid could be especially important for Treasury yields because persistent price pressure across services remains a key part of the broader inflation picture.
Today’s releases therefore give traders an unusually broad look at the economy within a relatively short period.
Strong services activity alongside elevated Prices Paid and firm labor costs could push yields higher if markets interpret the combination as reducing the need for easier monetary policy.
Softer employment and activity accompanied by moderating prices could produce the opposite reaction.
Conflicting signals could create more difficult price action as markets determine whether growth, inflation, or labor conditions deserve the most weight.
Natural Gas Inventories, with Treasury announcements and the 4 and 8 Week Bill Auction rounding out the remainder of the session.
Watch Treasury yields, market breadth, and technology leadership for confirmation rather than assuming the first headline driven move represents the market’s final interpretation.
Now, we will discuss SPY, QQQ, AAPL, MSFT, NVDA, GOOGL, META, and TSLA.
SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) SPY is currently trading around 765.50 as markets head into a packed session with labor, productivity, trade, and services data all on deck.
If buyers defend this level through the morning releases, a move toward 771.50 may develop, followed by 777.50 if momentum builds.
Sustained strength above 783.50 would improve the short term structure and reinforce buyer control.
If SPY loses 765.50 with conviction, sellers may press into 759.50.
A breakdown there could expose 753.50, while continued weakness may bring the 747.50 region into focus.
With important releases arriving at 8:30AM, 9:45AM, and 10:00AM ET, traders should be prepared for several potential shifts in direction rather than assuming the first move defines the session.
Treasury yields should provide an important confirmation signal today.
The combination of labor costs, Jobless Claims, and ISM Services Prices Paid gives markets multiple inputs on both employment and inflation, potentially influencing expectations for the future path of monetary policy.
Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1 (QQQ) QQQ is currently trading around 708.50 and remains sensitive to changes in Treasury yields as technology attempts to stabilize.
If buyers defend this pivot, price may advance toward 715.50, followed by 722.50 if momentum strengthens.
Sustained strength above 729.50 would begin repairing the recent short term weakness and indicate improving institutional demand.
If 708.50 fails to hold, sellers may drive price toward 702.00.
A deeper breakdown could expose 695.50, while continued weakness may bring the 689.00 region into play.
Watch whether semiconductors and mega cap technology confirm the index reaction, particularly following the 10:00AM ET ISM Services report.
Apple Inc. (AAPL) AAPL is currently trading around 324.00 and continues to demonstrate strong relative performance compared with several other mega cap technology names.
If buyers defend this pivot, price may rotate toward 329.25, followed by 334.50 if momentum builds.
Sustained strength above 339.75 would reinforce the bullish short term structure.
If 324.00 breaks lower, sellers may test 319.00 quickly.
Continued downside pressure could extend into 314.00, while deeper weakness may bring the 309.00 region into focus.
Continued outperformance against QQQ would remain a constructive indication of institutional demand.
Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) MSFT is currently trading directly around the psychologically important 500.00 level, making today’s reaction particularly interesting.
If buyers establish acceptance above 500, price may advance toward 507.25, followed by 514.50 if momentum builds.