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U.S. stock futures rise as Iran tensions and earnings loom

U.S. stock futures are modestly higher Thursday as investors weigh escalating U.S. economic pressure on Iran, a Treasury buyback announcement, and incoming earnings and data.

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S. S. economic offensive against Iran alongside incoming corporate earnings and a recent Treasury buyback announcement. The Polymarket (CRYPTO: POL) crowd is leaning heavily bullish for the Aug.

20 trading session. ” contract currently reflects a 66% chance of a higher open. Why That Number Matters Traders are balancing a busy earnings calendar and macro data against a highly volatile geopolitical backdrop: Higher Index Futures: Equity futures are pointing to a positive open. 42%.

24%. Geopolitics & Energy: President Donald Trump announced the “most crushing economic operation ever taken against any country,” dubbed “Operation Economic Fury,” designed to isolate Iran. S. military targets in Europe.

S. 45 a barrel. Earnings & Eco Data: Thursday’s earnings docket features major reports from Walmart Inc. (NASDAQ: WMT ), Alibaba Group Holding Ltd.

ADR (NYSE: BABA ), Deere & Co. (NYSE: DE ), NetEase Inc. (NASDAQ: NTES ), and Ross Stores Inc. (NASDAQ: ROST ).

m. m. ET. The Bull Case and Market Outlook A recent selloff in the Treasury market has raised some alarms, but according to Lawrence Gillum, Chief Fixed Income Strategist for LPL Financial, it is a normalization, not a crisis.

30% and the 10-year yield hitting its highest levels since 2023—is driven by heavy fiscal supply, AI-related corporate issuance, and residual energy-price inflation risk. Gillum noted that the market is finally pricing in a term premium again after years of suppression. He added that rate volatility remains subdued and recent Treasury auctions have seen decent demand without signs of real buyer fatigue. Furthermore, Wednesday’s Treasury buyback announcement is viewed more as strategic signaling than an actual fix, underscoring that the Treasury Department is paying attention and will do whatever it can to keep yields from rising too high too quickly.

How the Previous Bet Played Out The Aug. ” The contract recorded $109,805 in total trading volume. On Wednesday, the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE: SPY ) and Invesco QQQ Trust ETF (NASDAQ: QQQ ), which track the S&P 500 and Nasdaq-100, respectively, closed mixed. 08.

27 on Wednesday. Read Also: 3 Sectors Investors Should Buy Now as S&P 500 Stumbles — Strategist Sees 15%-18% Upside Disclaimer: This content was partially produced with the help of AI tools and was reviewed and published editors. Photo courtesy: Shutterstock