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AMD Jefferies Raises AMD PT to $640 from $515 - Buy Analyst comments: "AMD’s Advancing AI Day delivered on all fronts, with clear lead

AMD Jefferies Raises AMD PT to $640 from $515 - Buy Analyst comments: "AMD’s Advancing AI Day delivered on all fronts, with clear leadership in servers, while AI has become much more real with two additional key customers and a roadmap that potentially puts AMD ahead of $NVDA. Helios will begin ramping in September, with AI revenue likely well ahead of our $26 billion estimate next year. Our build points to $80–90 billion in calendar 2028, versus our prior $36 billion estimate, assuming multiple gigawatt deployments across the four lead customers. Both Anthropic and OpenAI discussed a rapid ramp-up of Helios, and the newly introduced ROCm.AI should make that process even easier. AMD matched NVDA in forecasting a $200 billion-plus server market spread across three tiers: headnode, agentic, and general-purpose servers, with agentic approaching 50% of the total addressable market in the out years. Venice is ramping later this year and puts AMD even further ahead of INTC and ARM competitors. AMD did not commit to a share target beyond saying it would be greater than 50%, but we see upside to $50 billion by calendar 2028, versus our $36 billion estimate. Overall, there.

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AMD Jefferies Raises AMD PT to $640 from $515 - Buy Analyst comments: "AMD’s Advancing AI Day delivered on all fronts, with clear leadership in servers, while AI has become much more real with two additional key customers and a roadmap that potentially puts AMD ahead of $NVDA.

Helios will begin ramping in September, with AI revenue likely well ahead of our $26 billion estimate next year.

Our build points to $80–90 billion in calendar 2028, versus our prior $36 billion estimate, assuming multiple gigawatt deployments across the four lead customers.

Both Anthropic and OpenAI discussed a rapid ramp-up of Helios, and the newly introduced ROCm.AI should make that process even easier.

AMD matched NVDA in forecasting a $200 billion-plus server market spread across three tiers: headnode, agentic, and general-purpose servers, with agentic approaching 50% of the total addressable market in the out years.

Venice is ramping later this year and puts AMD even further ahead of INTC and ARM competitors.

AMD did not commit to a share target beyond saying it would be greater than 50%, but we see upside to $50 billion by calendar 2028, versus our $36 billion estimate.

Overall, there were no major surprises from the day, but rather a consistent message of product leadership in servers and an argument that AMD is closing the gap in AI." Analyst: Blayne Curtis