EU MiddayOct 02, 10:45 AM
Europe midday: Eurozone inflation tops forecast as yields, oil and dollar stay in focus
Eurozone CPI flash came in at 3.8% year on year and 0.6% month on month, both above forecast, while core CPI matched 2.5%. S&P futures are up 0.4111% and Nasdaq futures are up 0.703%, but the ten-year yield is 5.24, WTI crude is 89.53, and the dollar index is 101.99.
Nasdaq futures +0.703%Risk assets are firmer ahead of the US jobs report
S&P 500 futures +0.4111%CPI and rates remain the main macro drivers
US 10-year yield 5.24Yield remains elevated despite a day decline
WTI crude 89.53Energy has eased after the recent spike
Lead: Eurozone CPI flash came in above forecast at 3.8% year on year and 0.6% month on month, with core at 2.5%. Risk is firmer but cautious.
Session narrative: S&P futures are up 0.4111% and Nasdaq futures are up 0.703%. Cash proxies are mixed, the VIX is 16.06, and the ten-year yield is 5.24. WTI crude is 89.53 and Brent is 100.01 after the latest energy headlines.
Cross-asset check: The dollar index is 101.99, EUR/USD is 1.1237 and dollar-yen is 157.577. Gold is 4203.4 and silver is 61.29.
Themes & continuing stories: Eurozone inflation keeps ECB pricing in play. Energy remains a live story as Europe weighs reserve releases and Russia signals possible export changes. Higher yields and a firm dollar still frame the US setup.
What’s ahead: The September jobs report is the next key catalyst. Payrolls are projected at 90,000, with unemployment seen at 4.1%.